Are we going to see a PGM recovery soon?19 Oct 2024 13:42
From May this year:
"Rupen Raithatha, Market Research Director at Johnson Matthey, commented: “Although platinum, palladium and rhodium will all be in deficit this year, the markets remain highly liquid. Automotive and industrial users bought more metal than they needed during 2020-2022 to mitigate price and supply risks. Since then, consumers have been using up excess PGM inventory, and some have even sold metal back to the market. As a result, palladium and rhodium prices fell sharply during 2023 and have been relatively stable so far this year.” "
At some point that excess inventory will be depleted and they will need to start buying more, and with supply in deficit there must be potential for a significant uplift in prices.
Here's the PGM basket and chrome prices since early 2023: https://tinyurl.com/4p8hv58a
Chrome is just starting to show some signs of weakening after a very strong 18 months or so whilst at the same time PGM's are just starting to gain a little. I did speculate that any weakening in chrome would put even more pressure on some of the PGM miners who also mine chrome as a by product... are we starting to see that taking effect? It's still too early to say for sure but I'll be keeping a close eye on what happens to the PGM basket over the coming weeks, if it starts to break towards US$1500 PGM oz it could be the beginning of a reversal in fortunes for PGM's and Jubilee too!