RE: Frank Giustra2 May 2021 09:45
E l , Cnr stated aim is to use high grade ore at the begining for faster payback which absolutely makes sense . However the start up year I don't believe will be below $700 because they will for sure be starting up slow and encounter teething problems along the way .
There is a clear difference in the way they present their projected aisc by year and Cnr . you are guessing at the make up of the spread of Cnr aisc because Cnr have no breakdown. Bit reminiscent of the fact that after spend millions on studies ,mc cannot tell an interviewer the projected price of a vital piece of equipement .not sure if it was priced individually .jeez come on.
Cf, like calibre ,this is a new outfit which have an agressive drilling campaign so you would expect resources to be raised considerably . Halfway through 35 k drilling . Costs for Colombia appear to be $110 m and they have drawn down the first tranche . IT is estimated as a 7 m oz project .
https://www.arisgold.com/news/news-details/2021/Aris-Gold-Announces-Marmato-Expansion-Updates-Including-Award-of-EPCM-Contract/default.aspx
They are also looking at more aquisitions . This was not my example for comparison and as always it is never perfect however I think in the market Cnr have it all to prove ,especially with their long winded route to production whereas this is an outfit that has more kudos in the all important Canadian market . The proof of the pudding will obviously be the sp .you are realistic with expectations of short /medium term which is sensible imv .40-100 p is not a bad return as far as I am concerned . I have had a very good run with other punts over the last couple of years but I am not expecting to go backwards here so am happy to keep some in here and run for the longer term whether for a takeout or possible production. I cannot pretend to be able to predict the possible gold price in three or four years and do not believe anybody else can . Could go ballistic , could halve, so have to assess as we go but I wouldnt want to have most of my eggs in this basket
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