RE: U.S. investors16 Feb 2020 08:30
Jumbo / BB, the latest Cenkos forecast assumes A$10 revenue, this would be an average with Chip bring higher, but as we move to mass market feels about right to me. So call it A$0.5bn per annum at the 50% of the market.
The cost side is more interesting, what is our cost for Auto ?
1) R&D- this has led to huge losses in Auto as R&D is much higher than current revenue, if they dont win the contracts it's a sunk cost, however I believe Auto is a cash cow as volumes increase
2) SW , in my simple mind we provide a algorithm and the Tier One add it to their overall package, so if the OEM uses it in 10 cars or 10m cars our cost is the same, but our revenue via a license fee per car is many multiples of today
3) Chip, Xilinx do everything and we get a license fee
So my guess would be revenue A$0.5bn with a cost of perhaps A$50m for ongoing R&D
It's a Dog of a business at low volume and paid for by placings, at high volume it's a cash cow
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