RE: Best to Worst15 Jun 2018 12:32
Watch out guys - some tin god on wheels will pop up to accuse you of being "armchair CEOs" for expressing any views of your own. That's one of the main faults of this board (apart from the resident trolls of course) - way too many people trying to shut you up.
Anyway DG1 - I couldn't resist replying to your post. This is going to sound utterly patronising I know, but I identify with your posts most of all on here because you seem to be exactly where I was on the investing learning curve about 3 years, with the scales starting to fall from your eyes, and your posts are the most honest - with a mixture of hope and realism.
I have been an utter mug in the past - and yes maybe that's why to some people I sound bitter whilst to others I strike a chord. I've been heavily involved with 3 disastrous AIM shares: QPP, SULA and AFPO. I'm not sure how I was tempted away from swing trading blue chips to high octane AIM stars, but before I knew it I had lost £19k on QPP, £32k on Sula... and by stroke of luck made £62k on AFPO (mainly because I was on holiday when it ten bagged in 9 days and couldn't sell early). Unlucky mug punter to lucky mug punter... but really the same thing - all 3 shares turned out to be worthless in the end and I was glad to get out with my shirt, some profit, and having learned a lesson.
The lesson was - don't believe the "story", the "journey", all the cliches you read on these boards. Look up any AIM share and read the boards - same types of people saying the same types of thing. "This CEO is different". "This CEO has a track record of delivering". "Interesting times ahead". "Just need to be patient". etc etc etc. The trap is falling in and thinking you are a community - that collective belief and groupthink alone will get you there.
SOLG falls almost 95% to 1.5p then recovers and soars to 46p then falls again - in that churn it's hard to know what the real price should be. None of us can really beat ourselves up for making the wrong call on buying. What we do need to do is try to ignore the hype and wishful thinking.
Your position is what I'd call the Vietnam Syndrome - early easy victory, so you commit a bit more, suffer a setback but commit some more, then commit commit and commit again to try to average down and go for some kind of draw. Then you realise you are in a quagmire - scared of losing everything, but equally unable to cut your losses now... willing to hold till the ultimate payday but hurting by the sliding SP and the increasing threat of dilution.
For the record, having been in at least 3 shares that went to zero, I don't believe for a minute that this is one of them. I believe that the NAV of this company alone right now with all the tenements is well above the current SP. I'm glad I extricated myself from SOLG the morning after that sneaky, shoddy after hours RNS about the 25p giveaway, but if I wer