Member Info for seabright

What do you REALLY know?

The question EVERYONE should ask but staggeringly few do.

Many are familiar with the Pareto principle of distribution the 80/20 rule. Some prefer to call it the law of the VITAL FEW.

You see when it comes to HIGH performance the rule is closer to 97/3.

Which simply means 97% of people get it WRONG.

So readers when someone shares information...knowledge obtained from investigation, study, or instruction,
Intelligence, news, Facts and data and in some cases openly share and demostrat a career of HIGH PERFORMANCE, one should sit up and take note.

DYOR

Thanks for the clarification GRH

All the best for your health, wealth and happiness in the coming years GRH.

Understanding the complexity and the different plays.

The gas play

The area around Mou-1,4 and 5 is an area of strong positive magnetic anomalies.This is highlighted by a series of ridges or arc’s. Together with deep seated faults and the Neogene-Quaternary basin infill , we are targetting a over-pressured Tortonian submarine fan system covering at least 30km².

The oil play

MOU-NE is a completely different play. This is a deeper oil bearing target. During the rifting and basin inflll stage, Triassic and Jurassic formations were deposited and superposed on the denser Paleozoic basement.

The basin was filled by carbonate platform deposits. These were penetrated by drilling of the TAF-1X and KDH-1 wells but missed their targets.

The location of MOU-NE is interesting. The latest RNS mentions an elevated position relative to the down dip TAF-1X well.

We also know that this is at the outer edge of a Jurassic structure that stretches westbound to over 100km. Down dip and westbound also maps the deep seated, highly negative anomalies located in the centre and the south. This area is affected in general by E-W to NW-SE trending faults.

This question also needs to be asked . Are our drill locations being influenced by the limitations of the in country star rig ? I think so. That said we should bear in mind the objective’s, costs and the game we are playIng out - to prove up and sell out.

AIMHO
DYOR

Good evening,
Following on from the excellent Rns and operational update dated 12th May 22 …
Mou _1, 4 and 5 are targeting an over-pressured Tortonian submarine fan system covering at least 30km².

This part of the Guercif Basin reaches the maximum depth (approx 2,000m) of the Neogene-Quaternary sequence which overlays the basin.

It lies between major vaults that run between 4 to 7 KM deep. It is likely hyper-charged. This play alone could be transformational for the company and it’s shareholders.

Then consider this..

The area we are targeting has a maximum Neogene-Quaternary depth of 2,000m. Beneath this lies a Jurassic substratum of approx 1200m followed by Triassic deposits and a paleozonic basement down to 7km, all of which could be charged with hydrocarbons.

The question then becomes do we need a bigger rig ???

Time to lie down…my head is spinning.

DYOR

Thank you for your kind words GRH

Of course the real champions of this board are the posters like you who contribute regularly.

Keep up the good work !!!

GLA

From the RNs issued on the 6th July 21??“ evidence of thermogenic gas migration supports in this part of the Guercif basin the pre-drill geological interpretation for a deep gas "kitchen" connected to shallower reservoirs by large faults.”

I mentioned at the time that this was an important and significant statement. Subsequent drill data revealed the reservoir interval is over-pressured. New targets have been identified. They follow these “large faults”.

GRH and others have mentioned many times about the importance of hydrocarbon charge and intensity. It remains the most important geochemical factor when estimating large oil and gas fields.

Guerrcif is hyper charged.

Over the years the tectonics of the region and its faulting system and structures have remained largely hidden and poorly understood because of thick sedimentary cover.

They are deep and numerous and cross the basin like a mosaic.

Yes indeed “tear them up”

DYOR
GLA

Exactly PT. We need circa 12-15 million to meet our stated objectives and obligations this year. Fully expect JV announcement shortly . Keep the faith and patience will be massively rewarded.

DYOR

I called the drop back in July 21, the sale of the century, not because of the sell off but the huge buying opportunity.

DYOR

Guercif Basin

There have been numerous independent studies over the years regarding the Guercif Basin and the surrounding geology. To name just a few….Benzaquen, Bernini, Zizi, Gomez, Morel, Krjjgsman, Capella, Tulbure, Sani, Nassili, Colo, Laville and Fedan, Brede, Sabaoui, Frizon de Lamotte, Lepretre, Perroddon, Aminzadeh, Berneni, Bouzian, Gelati, Colletta, Missenard, Duggun.

We have CRP, gravity, aeromagnetic, geophysical, geochemical, seismic, exploration wells, stratigraphic wells, and our own Mou 1 drill data and presentations. Also numerous contributions of excellent research from our own bb members.

But…don’t believe anything. DYOR.

Then consider things on a scale of probability.

I continue to add and hold.

Merry Christmas and a happy, prosperous new year to all.

Great post GRH.

This is simply OFF the scale. Too big to totally comprehend.

7,000 SQ KM filled by Tortonian to Quaternary sediments with thicknesses locally in excess of 2000 m (Colletta, 1977).

Sediments were settled in different environments: continental, lagoon and marine.

There are four tight anti- clines (ridges) separated by large synclines (depocenters). They are affected by major faults.

NE-SW (he most dominant one),follows generally the Moulouya river.,
and E-W grabens /half grabens and horsts controlled by NE-SW and E-W faults.

These acted as significant synsedimentary slip faults, reaching the Paleozoic basement .

The NW-SE faults can be interpreted as synsedimentary Jurassic transverse strike-slip normal faults.

Readers should sit down and look up sysedimentary growth faults.

Crikey, Preditor m/cap 14m.
Let the good times roll !!!!

DYOR
GLA

The Zulu Principle..Jim Slater

“ I gave this book it’s title after my wife read a four page article on Zulus in Reader’s Digest. If she had then borrowed all the available books on the subject from the local library and read them carefully, she would have known more about Zulus than most people in Surrey. If she had subsequently visted South Africa, lived for six months in a Zulu Kraal and studied all the available literature on Zulus at a South African University , she would have become one of the leading authorities in Great Britain and possibly the world. The key point is that the history of Zulus and their habits and customs today is a clearly defined and narrow area of knowledge into which my wife would have invested a disproportionate amount of time and effort, with the result that she would have become an acknowledged expert. The study of this noble people might not have been profitable, but there are many other specialised subjects that would have been rewarding financially. “

Read this has a young man and it's been my guiding principal ever since.
Says it all really about defined and narrow research-based knowledge.
Regards
Seabright

Hydrocarbon generation intensity and sedimentary geology. The most important geochemical factor to estimate large and middle gas fields. NOTHING ELSE MATTERS.

The Anchois discovery is in Tertiary-aged turbidite reservoir.

Each turbidite channel is unique, complex and difficult to analyse, even with 3d seismic. High sandy channels are the holy grail. Seismic can identify their stacking patterns and fan structures but exact drill location remains difficult. Offshore the investment required is eye watering expensive and risky but the rewards can be huge, think Gulf of Mexico and West Africa.

The very nature of these channels mean they are trap and seal associations. Not continuous, but when found can be highly stacked and clustered.

Onshore they are often found in various sub basins and depressions. Turbidite sequences characterise by alluvial fan settings. Ring any bells ????

So we have a complex sedimentary basin. Think multi layer with deep channels pushed together. The geology is NOT straight forward, the strata is not at equal depths. The goal is to find the sedimentary Turbidite sand structures. If you check the historic Well data across the licence area it gives us clues.

We will relinquish one of the four permit areas. The middle two areas are a no brainer to keep. The question is which of the two outside permits we choose. Which brings me on to the mysterious opportunity to compete an existing well for gas production in another basin in Morocco.

This is pure best guess.

The basin is probably the Taourirt basin which lies partly within our licence. In particular the potash Well PG3. Why ?? The Well was drilled to a depth of 600m. The interesting part is it penetrated the Tortonian succession around 150m from the surface and continued to the full Well depth of 600m. Now contrast that with Mou -1 and the primary target being the mid to late tortonian section , penetrated at 1385m. Go figure. There will be challenges but numerous opportunities across our basin.

All my opinion. I could be wrong.

DYOR

GLA

The Guercif Bain is a complex sedimentary basin akin to a junction point of subsurface fault systems and networks This is important to understand for the potential fluid draining, migration, storage , locations and directions of hydrocarbons.

The Guercif basin is subdivided into a western domain starting from the Terni Mazzgout and an eastern domain extending towards the High Plateaus. The central point that separates the two structural domains being the BMD: Bou Msaad Diapir. The folded middle atlas to the south west and the Bni Snassene belt to the north east, complete the structural domain .

From the CPR pathfinder report 2012 Page 9, which shows the map and location of the previous wells,… There are four oil exploration wells and several stratigraphic wells drilled on the block of permits to date (see Figure 3). The TAF-1 and TAF-2 wells were drilled by BRPM for coal exploration in the 1950s. Other shallow wells, such as PG-1 -2 and -3, were drilled for potash exploration. Oil drilling commenced in 1972 when Elf drilled GRF-1 followed by Phillips who drilled TAF-1X in 1979. MSD-1 and KDH-1 were drilled by ONAREP (now ONHYM) in the 1980’s.

A re-examination of the wireline logs by TransAtlantic in wells with Miocene and Upper
Jurassic sands suggested that several gas sands may have been missed in these wells.

It is my belief that GRF-1, MSD-1, TAF-1X and KDH-1 and Mou-1 are located close to FOUR major faults that are CONNECTED ( Imagine the branches of a tree) to each other and are deeply seated to a depth of 7km.

The most interesting fault is the fault that runs though the BMD: Boy Msaad Diapir. This major fault is the trunk that feeds the branches connecting the Well areas mentioned in the previous paragraph. It’s the deepest fault extending to 7kms deep and largely follows the Moulouya river from the Bourached region to the Bni Snassene belt. If I was to guess it would extend to approx 100km in length.

In total there are FIFTEEN major faults crossing the structural domain area.

The potential for hydrocarbons are tremendous.

All that is required is patience.

DYOR GLA

Hydrocarbon generation intensity /energy is the most important geochemical factor to estimate large and middle gas fields. It is important understand this and remember the FOCUS should be on the probability whether traps can be charged.

FOUR petroleum systems were identified in the Guercif Basin, Paleozoic, Triassic, Jurassic and Tertiary Petroleum systems.

In 2020 a research paper was released in order to understand the complexities of the sedimentary Guercif basin in relation to hydrocarbon systems.

All existing geological data, seismic, gravity and magnetic were processed.

It defines the main faults directions, lengths, dip directions and depths. Down to 7km in places.

Guercif Basin is affected by several major faults elongated in three main trends: NE-SW, E-W and NW-SE.
.
A NEW subsurface structural map was established.

This recognised many faults already confirmed but found MAJOR new ones.

The established referential map reveals that the study area is subdivided into two different structural domains; a western one principally affected by NE-SW trending faults representing the northeastern extension of the Middle Atlas Fault Zone, and an eastern domain belonging to the stable eastern Meseta and characterised in general by large E-W trending faults.

Shortly after this paper was released ConocoPhillips acquires the adjacent license to Guercif.

Also
From the RNS 19 July. Evaluate opportunity to compete an existing well for gas production in another basin in Morocco.

Related to MOU- 1 ? or following the structural map faults into another basin ?

DYOR
GLA

From the RNS 19th Jul
MOU-1 validated the pre-drill seismic "bright spot" anomaly.
MOU-1 will help calibrate MOU-4 Target seismic "bright spots" to adjust a final well location to appraise the MOU-1 drilling results.
Preliminary seismic re-correlation of the TGB-2 objective to the MOU-4 Target confirms that MOU-1 successfully proved up and substantially de-risked the MOU-4 Target.

Ok so this is the interesting fact about seismic bright spots.

A regional gas-saturated sand body slows the wave front to create a seismic bright spot, and processing determines the depth to the sands. Seismic Bright spots do not indicate presence of oil.

However Magnetic Bright spots do. A zone of magnetically - altered minerals directly above a regional hydrocarbon deposit (whether oil or gas) is detectable from the air as a Magnetic bright spot. A surface map of the MBA reveals the location of the oil or gas deposit, although its depth is not indicated.

From the CPR report 2012..

TransAtlantic flew an aero gravity and magnetics survey (10,000 km) over the area in 2006 and carried out geochemical sampling coincident with surface and subsurface structures.
Two micro-seepage surveys were carried out by Geo-Microbial Technologies in 2006 and 2007. A total of 32 traverses were carried out over a 2500km2 area and 731 soil samples were analysed in 2006 and 2007.

SLR
Pathfinder Energy Maghreb Plc/finnCap Limited 11 SLR 501.00269.0001 CPR Morocco May 2012
The results of the 2006-07 surveys (Geo-Microbial Technologies Inc, March/April 2007) identify several hydrocarbon types in the Guercif basin: thermogenic dry gas and some condensate around the GRF-1 well; oil and gas/condensate around the MSD-1 well, over the Jezira anticline and in southwest; and oil in all other anomalies. Particularly interesting is the abundant seepage in a large area around the TAF-1X well which appears to be oil rather than gas. The anomalies cover a larger area and have higher oil concentrations than the anomalies elsewhere. These surveys confirm there is an active hydrocarbon source system in the basin.
Results:
TransAtlantic’s regional analysis yielded a number of large untested surface anticlines (up to 25 km in length) with associated surface geochemical anomalies. Its work confirmed the presence of source and reservoir rocks, seals and traps. TransAtlantic attempted to analyze the timing of oil maturation versus migration and trapping. In addition, it believed that two of the four wells drilled appeared to have missed pay opportunities.

It’s imho it’s beyond ANY doubt we have GAS. Huge amounts . We also have oil , how much is the question.

Special thanks to GRH, steadfast in his belief and knowledge, we owe you much sir.
DYOR
GLA

This from Dietmar (Deet) Schumacher1 and Luigi Clavareau, 2014
Geochemical Exploration in Deserts of North Africa and Middle East: Strategies, Methods, and Exploration Case Histories*
and Strategies for Success.
https://www.searchanddiscovery.com/documents/2014/80430schumacher/ndx_schumacher.pdf
DYOR
GLA

GRH referenced Dietmar Schumacher...
in his excellent Research Paper as presented in 2010 to The Indonesian Petroleum Symposium,
the correlation between hydrocarbon evidence at surface and success in finding commercial hydrocarbons below.

Here it is, well worth the read.
https://www.ane.na/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/schumacher-seismic.pdf

DYOR
GLA

Would also add the following for better understanding,
Gas moves from the source to the reservoir /trap/fault and then migrates .
A criterion to determine which gases are indigenous (not migrated) is the geochemical correlation of maturity parameters of the gas and the environment at which the natural gas has been found (Schoell, 1983).

DYOR
GLA

Hi Blackdogtaff,
Gas needs carrier beds to migrate. The biggest problem for E&P companies is that many carrier beds are below seismic resolution.

Seismic’s should be treated as models not data. Drilling gives us the data.

Migration cannot continue unless the trap is filled to capacity or leak/spill point.

Mass balance calculations suggest that up to 10% of a gas generated in a particular reservoir may undergo vertical or lateral migration (Barker, 1979).

Hope that helps
DYOR
GLA