RE: Squeaky bottom time........ again3 Feb 2023 05:26
TKGM PROJECT / FINANCIAL CLOSE - PREDICTION
Hi all…
Friday afternoon down under, having a quiet wine with an old, well travelled Jack Russell Terrier.. he’s mostly on the water.
Firstly, my apologies to Fantasy, Forrest and the “glass half empty” /“shorting to oblivion” crew in general for not holding back on my contempt for your posts in recent times. I must learn to ‘agree to disagree’
I’m not in the business of crystal ball gazing and I don’t possess loose tea.. so this is just my own meandering thoughts on our elephant in the room, Tulu Kapi close out, timing thereof, as we sit today….
We don’t have a credit backed formal offer of debt funding from the senior lenders. Yet.
We DO have a document which says ‘yes, we’ll do this deal’ with a list of conditions to be met. This has been circulated to all syndicate members, as most of them will have to work industriously and get comfortable with covenants, conditionality and prioritisation of security etc, in order for signatures to dry and funds to flow.
I suspect the above paper IS board ratified, and a serious & genuine document, yet to crystallise into ‘unconditional’ however
My Prediction;
Mid March
I absolutely think this will happen, and absolutely have NO IDEA why we have been given such ludicrous timescales from the Kefi senior team this far - entirely baffling…
We need to arrive at a formal offer (unconditional) and then the myriad of lawyers and advised need to dance around for a few weeks to justify their fees, tick all the boxes and agree on all conditionality (precedent & subsequent) - no quick process.
So that’s my best guess - mid March close for TKGM
I firmly believe this is going to happen - just as much as I firmly believe the board have led us up the garden path here, albeit naively with good/honest intent
Delighted to be proved wrong, and that may happen later today, or Monday……. But my feel for this is mid March full/final close out.
Milestones of achievement along the way will get the market twitching and the share price firing in anticipation.
GLA