Hardman August 202011 Aug 2020 16:58
TISSUE REGENIX
Investment programme initiated
TRX is focused on the development and commercialisation of two proprietary
decellularisation technology platforms for repair of soft tissue (dCELL) and bone
(BioRinse). Its broad portfolio of commercialised regenerative medicine products
is targeting the biosurgery, orthopaedics and dental markets. Over the past two
years, the company has revised its commercial strategy, realigned its supply chain,
and restructured operations to service the strong product demand and overcome
capacity constraints. The recent equity raise has provided the capital needed for the
phased capacity expansion and sufficient working capital for the foreseeable future.
? Strategy: TRX is building an international regenerative medicine business around
its proprietary technology platforms, underpinned by compelling clinical outcomes.
It plans to develop production capabilities, enabling the business to expand its
global distribution network, via strategic partnerships, to drive sales momentum.
? Interims: Despite the fact that TRX has had to contend with operational,
financing, a cyber security incident and COVID-19-related issues, we believe
that the company will deliver broadly flat sales for 1H’20. The main driver has
been the delay to elective procedures in the US due to COVID-19.
? Expansion: The tangible benefits of increasing to two-shift manufacturing in
San Antonio, coupled with outsourcing some DermaPure production, only
began to materialise in 4Q’19. Phased investment has commenced to increase
the number of clean rooms in San Antonio, which should benefit from 1H’21.
? Risks: With proper funding now in place, the main risk is timing and commercial
execution. As with all businesses, the impact of the current global COVID-19
pandemic is unquantifiable until there is further clarity around timing and the
effect on elective surgical procedures.
? Investment summary: TRX has a portfolio of innovative regenerative products
with regulatory approval in both the US and EU. Realignment of the commercial
strategy to maximise sales potential through strategic and distribution partnerships
has been successful, resulting in increased demand for products. Having
secured the required funding to invest in scaling the manufacturing facilities, the
market will start to take note when management delivers on future milestones.
Financial summary and valuation
Year-end Dec (£m) 2017 2018 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E
Sales 5.23 11.62 13.03
EBITDA -9.01 -7.09 -6.13
Underlying EBIT -9.72 -8.27 -7.18
Reported EBIT -10.82 -8.69 -7.20
Underlying PBT -9.67 -8.46 -7.64
Forecasts under review
Statutory PBT -10.77 -8.88 -7.66
Underlying EPS (p) -0.90 -0.67 -0.60
Statutory EPS (p) -1.02 -0.70 -0.61
Net (debt)/cash 16.42 7.82 0.09
Equity issues 40.25 0.00 0.00
P/E (x) - - -
EV/sales (x) - 2.3 1.1
Source: Hardman & Co Life Sciences Research