RE: Takeover25 Jul 2022 13:24
Does anyone know when the 30 day option period to buy the 5% started? We sat he Newcrest report last Wednesday night with the figures of $60 million being quoted, but that figure must have been known at least a few days before to allow it to be drafted into the quarterly report.
Whenever it was known, by now the Newcrest BOD must have had a meeting about it to decide what to do. As other posters have reported so well, the board are under pressure from their shareholders and now with the interviews and podcasts coming from GGP, you can sense that there is a bit of negativity around Newcrest building as a result. For example, read the headline above from LSE … “
Shaun Day hails ‘an outstanding outcome’ as Greatland controversial 5% share stake valued at US$60M.” -controversial 5% share stake!!!
So will they upset the shareholders and take the 5%, spending more on acquisitions rather than on dividends? Will they also send a signal to other juniors that they will do anything they can to get your assets?
The second option is to let the offer lapse. I can’t see that really. Sandeep Biswas is not that type of fella. He has been show to be a bully and wants control.
The third option is a takeover bid for all of Havieron. He still has the problems with his shareholders, but the cost savings would make it attractive for Newcrest.
At what price. Well that is the €64 million dollar question? He doesn’t want a drawn out bid battle and he doesn’t want to allow others into the bidding process. My guess is it would be a reasonable offer, hoping to repair reputational damage, whilst keeping their institutional investors happy.
I respect SAS’s assessment, but think Newcrest can’t afford to risk leaving it too long and I think they could make an offer for the whole of Havieron before the 30 day option is up.
This is only my opinion and Put forward for debate. I could be way wide of the mark, but we only have a few weeks until we know in any case.
(Apologies in advance for fat finger syndrome and poor spelling! ;0) )