RE: To buy or not to buy ?21 Nov 2024 23:01
Here's my arith, which I am sure is teaching you all to suck eggs.
Say you bought today, at 219.3p, then at the end of April '25 you'd get 14.6p in dividend (*assuming* it's unchanged for this calculation).
If you put the money in a bank, at say 4.75%, until 30 April '25, then you'd effectively get 2.08% (160 days 'til 30 Apr '25). Approx. 4.6p on every 219.3p.
Investment return is 10p (or 4.6% on sp) up compared to the bank - on the div. date. And this *assumes* you sell at the 219.3p price you paid.
Wait 'til the second div and then you'd be 12.8p / 5.8% up.
So, the question is, will the sp drop by 10p (or 12.8p) by the ex-div dates next year? If you think it will, then you'd be better off putting money in the bank *at those points in time*. Assumptions on div amounts and you get a interest rate for a set period.
Maybe it will be a goose that lays a decent egg.