Free Cash Flow25 Nov 2020 15:12
If we take it that :
HUR are producing about 14,500bopd
For say 360 days pa
At an all in cost of ~ $35/bbl
With ~2,000million shares
And $ to £ as 1.32 to 1
And Brent ~ $48/bbl
I get the calculation as:
5.22mil bo per year x ($48 - $35) = $67.86mil /year free cash flow
And dividing this by ~2,000mil shares = 3.39cents/share FCF / year
= 2.57p FCF / share
If we then were to apply what would amount to a conservative Price to Earnings Ratio multiplier of 5 to this, then my maths start to see the share price, based only on production, as being worth around 12.85p / share.
In the 11thSept 2020 update, the 2C contingent resources for Lancaster were put at 58mm bbls which at a production rate of 14,500bopd I calculate as potentially sustaining such production for ~4,000days or ~10.9years.
Plus there is the Lincoln field: 50%wi of 2C 45mm bbls, plus HUR said : "... significant oil volumes are potentially present in the Victory and Rona sandstones which onlap the Lancaster fractured basement on the flanks of the structure. "
Hopefully, we will all have a better idea on this following the next update.
As always DYOR & calculations before investing.