RE: Broker Note15 Sep 2023 17:48
I will agree with you there Krone,
Sareum strategy to licence late preclinical to early clinical.
Initial dosing has proven satisfactory. Dose escalation trial now in progress.
Interested parties will require data. Data will be available now with respects to toxicity and indicative of any toxicities likely to emerge, even though we have not reached end of trial.
Potters value of 2 billion valuation is reasonable ball park figure l feel at around mid to late stage of 1b trial this being inclusive of 1802 should a pharma choose to aquire both compounds.
I cannot see a pharma on licencing agreement giving any right that as a licensee of 1801 they will have first refusal for 1802.
They either take SDC1801 or take SDC1802 or both.
At end of dose escalation the full data will become available with regards to toxicity and following satisfactory results we will continue into 1b trial for Psoriasis.
My thinking is therefore along the similar lines as yourself, of anytime from.now an on licence of 10 million prior to end of dose escalation with maybe 150 to 200 million in milestones looks about right.
End of dose escalation on satisfactory results considerably more and even more so with good efficacy in Psoriasis 100 million upfront with over a billion in milestones
Post trial 1b and data 200 million plus up front, with considerable milestone payments for on licence of 1801 only.
Sareum price prediction of share price of 3 pounds plus per share in this time period is not that much different from the preceding paragraph scenario.
Value will depend on how effective we are in other Indications post biomarker data.
The more good positive data that arises as clinical trial progresses so will the attractiveness to the interested parties along with a corresponding increase in value.
Myself looking forward to SDC1802 going into clinical trial for a yet to be defined and confirmed range of cancer.
Apologies a bit hickledy pickled as only have this tiny little mobile phone at the moment.
Regards