RE: Keeps bouncing around 5p1 May 2024 17:48
So, ultimately MyIPA, why do you think this is happening? Are the various mms just starting to buy shares on behalf of a placee now and a deal already done so that on the first bit of decent news any rise would see the forward selling begin? I'm inclined to think so but IKN.
Here's a fanciful scenario: funding deal already done for say 40m shares at a placing price of 8p. (about £2m worth). Hear me out please. Over the next 5 or 6 weeks the mms slowly ramp up the buying of shares all under or at about 5p, holding the share price in a limited range between 4.75 - 5.25p. In the 4 weeks leading up to the news from NICE on July 10th, confirming Full recommendation for CYP2C19, the sp is let go and goes on one of its more sustained rises and actually reaches let's say 14 - 16p. The placee can shift all it's 40m shares easily on strong volume for well over what the mms are currently buying them and handing them over for which is actually approx 5p. The placee goes away happy with as close to 100% profit as possible, GDR happy to have the £2m in the kitty and even share holders happy because we've enjoyed a rise of about 200% up to 15p ish and then the funding is announced at 8p which is still well above the current sp . Job done. Everyone happy. At that point the sp could be left to do its own thing and go where true value sits with GDR generating revenue confirmed from within the NHS and finally gets going with the FDA de Novo application for RNR1.
Told you it was fanciful.