Cirata21 Dec 2023 11:49
I can see why Kelly and the board have a swagger, the short
term workstream culminating in no choice fundraise has seen a quick price response to allotment and purchases of shares. However, I can’t help but feel the announcements are already sounding the same as his predecessor. In a nutshell, they had 8m in the bank on arrival. Cost base cut to 22m today. Raised 30m, only 16m left by Christmas. Revenue run rate 8m per annum. The latest trading update reads like a David Richard’s re hash. Cash flow break even end of ‘24 (has anyone actually seen the plan to ascertain how this will happen)? I doubt it, anymore than the advisers have seen it before signing off. In simple terms, had the offering been a must have then it wouldn’t be part of this business by now. The only time a 10m plus order was received it turned out to be fraudulent. Management must think a real one will come along and, I’d hope they have something they can genuinely show to prove it. Without it they will run out of cash Q3 latest. They can only avoid this by raising 50m to give them a proper run rate. They can only raise that if they genuinely can show tangible deal flow to underpin it. If they don’t have that tangible in hand contract then they are just guessing. More than that they would be being reckless and would be better off raising 50m and giving it to google or Amazon to see how they get on with high level tech in an AI world.