Annual Report4 Aug 2020 10:27
I am sure that anyone with any sizeable amount invested here will have read the Annual Report when it was RNS'd.
I sometimes go back over them some weeks later, in light of any 'new' information that may be available and to re read again in detail, it is amazing what you see second and third time around and how it can change in your mind.
I appreciate that the Board would want to get fair value here obviously, however the more I think on it and consider the AP involvement, whatever that actually is, I am starting to believe that they are proving up a very large resource indeed, most likely larger than we have previously thought.
The below statement is in the report and one could initially argue it is an obvious and rather 'meaningless' one, however read in the context of AP and information that has been shared here regarding historical data and the possible resources in our area then it can take on new meaning......
"We have been working hard to establish the value of our projects to ensure that we will achieve value for all our stakeholders".
Personally I am not in the £3.50 camp, much as I would love it, but I do think this could take a few people by surprise and for the life of me I am struggling to see the downside.
Yes, we could receive no offers - very unlikely, we would not have started this off if we had not already had a pretty clear indication that there was going to be an offer and any potential buyer would know ball park what they needed to pay.
Yes we could receive offers which are not acceptable - at this level discussions will have been ongoing for months if not years, companies will know approximately what needs to be offered and this opportunity may not come around again, whoever wins this could 'own' the market for a generation.
Yes, we could walk away, and we mine ourselves, as has been stated on here this could in fact be the most profitable route for shareholders over the longer term, but even though we could do this, and we are set up to do it, nothing has happened to suggest this is realistic or probable.
I had hoped this would be wrapped up in a few weeks when we returned to market, now believe it will be months, that said we will most probably get an RNS in the morning.
What other scenarios have I missed on the downside?
GLA