Zeus value TIG at 117p6 May 2025 10:04
Zeus have today published this FYI:
"Team Internetβs shares fell sharply in March after Google announced that it planned to start opting all Google Ads accounts out of Adsense for Domains (AFD) advertising, the largest portion of Team Internet's Search division. The company is uncertain of the rate that advertisers will be opted out, how many will opt back in, the timeline for the process or the impact on average click prices. However, the company has taken action and accelerated its transition away from AFD and towards Related Search On Content (RSOC) and now sees profits returning to growth in 2026. In contrast, the market appears to be discounting this recovery.
Indeed, Team Internetβs depressed share price implies no value for the Search business, assuming the remaining Comparison and Domains, Identity & Software (DIS) businesses are valued at only 7x EBITDA 2025. We believe this implied multiple is too low for the rapidly growing Comparison division and the highly reliable DIS division. Comparison revenue grew 43% to $63m in 2024 and Adj EBITDA margin rose to 25.6% from 20.8%, driven by more proactive marketing and advertising, new market launches and operating leverage.
In 2025, we forecast strong revenue growth continues at 24.0% with margin rising further to 27.7%, as strong organic growth continues in Germany and the division expands into new markets (Italy, Spain and France). DIS revenue grew 7.4% in 2024 to $202.7m and Adj EBITDA margin rose to 9.6% from 6.8%, driven by the structural shift in demand towards Top Level Domains, where Team Internet has a competitive edge, and strong cost discipline. In 2025, we conservatively forecast revenue rises 3.5% and margins rise modestly to 9.9%, supported by steady market growth and continued cost discipline.
We value the Group at 117p (99p excluding Search) based in 12x EBITDA for Comparison, 8x for DIS and 3x for Search. Note that Zeusβ PE (5.3x) and FCF yield (17%) estimates for 2025 are not as attractive as those indicated by Capital IQ, but they would still sit in the top five lowest PEs and highest FCF yields in the sector."