Member Info for RichTheNewbie

Ghia - it's no different to using shares. The max loss is exactly the same and just depends on your position size. Only difference with a guaranteed stop is your max loss is significantly lower than using shares.

Don't really doubt that it would. IFN-B being part of the body's natural defences. It's more the case that the body can become deficient in producing it. Whether that be through old age, ill health, or the virus itself blocking its production. Hence supplying IFN-B to the relevant site (ie by inhalation of SNG001) helps people fight off the virus who don't have enough of it for whatever reason.

Yes it's £1/per point (point is a penny).

Yes.

Oh and the final thing is - if the price moves up. You can move that guaranteed stop upwards a bit (on IG at least).
As an example, at 160 the stop had to be about 80 something pence. Now the price has moved up, the stop has to be over 100p lower, at present, on IG, to be guaranteed (now the price is 200p). So the guaranteed stop of about 80p opened at 160p can be amended upwards to 100p as the price is at 200p. I.e. a guaranteed stop of 100p from an opening price of 160p just by moving the stop up to 100p below the current price. So if you'd opened at 160p, moved the stop up now, you'd be taking 60p of risk, versus whatever upside there may be to come.

That way it's actually the spread provider taking almost half the risk.

oilornothing - I've not been commenting on the price (or any buys/sells I've done personally) because I don't want it to influence anyone positively or negatively in the current situation.
I think there's a lot of ways this can now play out and each with differing effects on the SP. That ranges from massive deals / takeovers /EMAs, to middleground ones with partnerships/licencing possibly funding further trials to try to achieve authorisation, to more negative scenarios (won't elaborate because people will get grumpy).
I'm not deliberately not commenting on the likelihood of any of the options, as nothing is a foregone conclusion, in many ways it's not a lot different to punting at 35p-80p. The price reflects the results were very good, and much better than expected, so the discount for risk is now much lower, but there's a way to go yet to make this a commercial reality.
So, as always, like on any share, I think all you need to do is estimate the potential rewards in the great scenario, moderate scenario, and bad scenario. Estimate your own likelihood of each scenario and multiple the gain / loss by whatever stake you're putting in. Should help you determine what level of stake you're comfortable with for the risk/reward (and that will be different for everyone).
I virtually never use stops on AIM shares, HOWEVER, if you're not using massive stakes, then I would say the best tip you could possibly get right now, is to use a spreadbet, with a guaranteed stop. IG offering it for up to £75/point right now. The stop has to be a minimum of something like 80-90 points away (seems to vary). It's no different to using shares (apart from you don't pay tax) AND the killer advantage is, if this went wrong and ended up in the negative case, and tanked sharply, it would limit your losses significantly. Therefore you're actually taking less risk than you would be with shares but retaining the upside.

Nolupus - no problem with that as I say ;)

Yeah - I don't blame Nolupus for his strategy at all and it's not meant to be a dig. Just seems a bit weird to cite him as an example of picking the lows. As whenever I picked the lows I usually got disagreement (from him or others) ;)

Strange memories people have.

I remember arguing with Nolupus that we'd seen the bottom on the 16th Jun and he disagreed and said:
"Everyone to their own trades and convictions ....
34-35 p should have held and we should have had a decent bounce from there but today back to 32.8. And why not 30p-27 p"

This was a significant reason SNG made the cut when I was scouting the market a long time ago for opportunities.

Sparkle1 I don’t know but I can say they’ve certainly run SNG extremely frugally for a very long time. Not diluting every five minutes and did secure a deal with Astra Zeneca previously (even if they did later give up on the drug too soon imo).

I liked the one about Punit and the Turing test :)

If he did one it’d be the first time where the human fails before the AI ;)

The good news (imo) is actually that interferon alpha doesn’t look as useful generally from all the studies and analysis I’ve read and it’s deficiency in IFN-b that leads to problems - particularly in COVID that seems to suppress its production based on what I’ve read ;)

Happens all the time.

Oh your nonsense does make me laugh Punit.

I don't understand the interest in ORPH personally. Looks like peak time for that sort of company and still not going to generate giant money. When governments stop worrying about COVID vaccines the demand for their stuff will vanish. Upside looks low and downside looks big.

I'd say it's probably more likely to be bound between psychological round number points now prior to news (of 150 and 200p).
Probably also mostly dependent on larger players in background, whether there's any larger buyers, or whether Lansdowne or Licht are cashing in any profit (I know Licht took a bit already).
Not as easy to guesstimate this from the trading anymore.
Doesn't really matter though, anything in this range should be a good buy, if approvals are swift, and deals are done to get this to market quickly. If it's delays and more trials then it probably won't. Statement of the obvious really - just got to wait and see now :)

Pesky low quality scaremongers.
Can't get the staff these days.
Will you please do a much better job as I'm still waiting for any decent pullback to buy some more and it's still not happened at any time.
If I miss out, so be it, I can watch my existing holding flourish.....but I wouldn't mind some more.

Not sure. But I think he was saying that's where he expects MM's to attack for stop losses. Rather than him putting one on.
I wouldn't use stops on this it's asking for trouble (bar guaranteed ones and absolutely miles away from the current price just in case it went titsup to half your losses or something).