When to sell, and when not to22 Dec 2025 10:34
I thought the below was useful to consider. Not financial advice.
Taken from a Facebook image and converted to text. Credit to: "WHEN TO SELL A STOCK -
Vishal Khandelwal"
SELL FOR ONE OR MORE OF THESE REASONS
+ WRONG FACTS
Bad management, bad business, weak moat
+ CHANGING FACTS
Deteriorating business, poor capital allocation, worsening management quality
+ NO CASH FOR BETTER OPPORTUNITY
Found a better opportunity, but do not have cash to invest
+ NEED CASH
Need cash for meeting a financial commitment
Do not invent new reasons to continue when the original reasons are no longer available. If you realize you made a mistake, accept it. Swallow your pride, and move on.
DO NOT SELL FOR ANY OF THESE REASONS
- STOCK IS OVERPRICED
What is ‘overpriced’? A good business with expanding earning power will mostly look overpriced. Stop looking at price-to-earnings multiples etc. only. Consider expected returns over the next 10 years from current levels.
Your original purchase cost does not matter. What matters is where the stock may go from today over the next decade or more.
If the company might quadruple in size in 10 years, does it matter if the stock is overpriced by 50% or 100%?
No one can say with any precision what is ‘overpriced’ for an outstanding business that earns return on capital more than cost of capital.
- OTHER REASONS
Stock has gone up from my buying price.
Stock has surged 50% in last one month.
I expect a correction. Sell now and buy again at lower price.
Sell before I lose my paper profits.
“If the job has been correctly done when a common stock is purchased, the time to sell it is — almost never.”
— Philip Fisher