City Love2 Apr 2018 11:02
I think it's fairly true to say, that with the exception of TF, the City has not been our greatest fan.--
-With no income to speak of and prospects always just over the horizon, institutions have generally withdrawn to the side lines, and at best left us on their "watch list", with only a very few risk funds prepared to put some cash on the table.
-So it's been down to the PI's to try and show some faith, leaving many locked deep underwater.
With no II interest the SP has been at the mercy of all sorts of chicanery, and an orchestrated bear mkt has been allowed to almost take us to the brink. No income and a huge debt (Aveb) hanging over us, left us wide open, and the bears quite rightly have had a field day.
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-Many have doubted as to whether Nigeria was the right place to do business, and would we ever really see any money, but seeing has to be believing.-Now we have a guaranteed income stream, with $36 mill already paid, another $19 mill prob paid yesterday and $19 mill coming every qutr for the next two and a bit years.
-Add to this our share of OML18 via our 9.5% interest, which will come hopefully sometime in the very near future, and we are already a very different animal to the one that went into suspension back in Nov 2017.
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---Now we also have the very real prospect of Barry finally getting off the ground over the next couple of years, and our 4.5% NPI could produce a very large and stable income stream for years to come, --something we have never had.
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-The prospects from any RTO cannot be over stated. A larger stake in OML 18, and/or stakes in many of the other assets held by MW, could boost our income and future prospects to levels we had never envisaged .
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-Prospects and income will inevitably lead to a return for SH, and this is what the City have been waiting for.
-No longer will the ii's sit on the side lines, watching and waiting. Their fund structure will mean they have to include SLE in their portfolio, and with ii needing to take a stake, the days of the bear mkt are over.
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-The devil will always be in the detail here, and we will have to wait and see how these talks on a RTO pan out, and if a deal can ever be done ,, but the City however, will now view us very differently,---- as income is king.
If the RTO does go ahead and we get even just an "OK" deal, then our fortunes could draw the attention of large sections of the Institutions, and SLE will have a long solid future as the ii's slowly build up holdings.
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-Spikes and troughs, certainly, but as we had in the past with the SP on a downward march, now we should have a long steady climb back up.
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-GLA