RE: somebody buying4 Jul 2018 23:41
Its a case of the tail wagging the dog at the moment FJS.
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-It's all revolving around "spread betting/futures" positions, being turned into a self fulfilling cycle.
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-I'm too long in the tooth to have kept up with modern trading instruments, but somewhere there is a product that is involving small margins governing much bigger underlining positions, ---much the same as the old "Traded Options" use to do .
-With no institutional support at the moment, the market is revolving around positions held by PI's, and the large number of "spread bet/Futures" positions.
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-Once the book is filled with enough taken positions, then it's ripe for a large squeeze.---All that is needed is a Spread bet /Futures outfit, to tie up with a MM and the job is easy, (plus of course it is made easier still by the use of scare tactics, to start and keep the ball rolling.
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-Once a scare has been put out, and the first PI's begin to bite on it, then the MM comes into his own.
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-Firstly the MM goes all round the rest of the other MM's and hits every bid (watch the AT trades), leaving himself short and the rest long.--------Then the PI sells start.
-But---instead of holding on to any sale, the MM in the loop, spreads every sale he encounters around the rest of the MM's (another round of AT trades.----they now start to offload this same stock-and another round of AT trades floods the mkt.
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-Now as the SP is driven lower, the bite is on all those Spread Bet/Futures position.
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-Margin calls, start to panic holders, and they start cutting those positions.
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---Another round of AT sales,------- and the whole thing starts feeding on itself------------round and round and down and down, with no institutional buying to stop the cycle and put a proper level on the SP.
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-Look at the posters who keep on saying "there is no buying", and the ones who are constantly flooding PI's with horror stories--and you can see who's involved.
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-Only when the II's return to the mkt will this stop.
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-The gearing on all futures instruments makes them a very dangerous vehicle, and there was talk of having them banned.--------but they're still here and being played with-------------------to me it's almost like SP rigging, but that's just my personal opinion.