news back from Tom Hickey2 Dec 2013 21:21
As you know I sent an e-mail to Tom Hickey last week. He posted a message on the iii website this evening.
Hi Swaltz,
Kurdistan is probably the focus of most attention at present (and Brian is there this week visiting the wellsites and a major industry conference). Shakrok is drilling ahead and while there have been a few delays, the general timeline of February announcement/update seems reasonable, and the analogous discoveries in recent months (as well as encouraging infrastructure and sales announcement in recent days) mean the overall environment remains positive. Amongst the things to be discussed on Brian’s visit are the protocol for announcements, etc – not an indication of anything, and the JOA or licence agreement is pretty clear, but better to be safe than sorry given the relatively tight nature of the industry in country.
In Romania, while we were disappointed with the first well result, the reservoir quality encountered was significantly better than even our most optimistic projections (based on regional analogues, this is quite a new exploration province), meaning the 400 bcf guided would have been maybe twice as big if gas charged…so we need to figure out the plumbing! The next well is entirely geologically independent so no additional or different risk from the 170 bcf at 29-43% we guided.
In Algeria, we’re forging ahead on project stuff, most notably related to the FEED (Engineering and design) contract tendering process, and also on finalising the “Avenant” or PSC amendment required to give effect to the Sonatrach pre-emption – guidance on this is pre year end, all going well.
Egypt seems to be gradually regaining some stability following the counter revolution in June and we’ve had a number of meetings with EGPC/EGAS Chairmen, ministers and others which confirm their appreciation of PCI’s commitment to the country (new licences, increased gas production for a period when requested during Ramadan, frequent visits) and intention to make significant payments to international Oil co’s including PCI over the coming weeks. The Country’s sovereign debt rating was recently upgraded for the first time in ages also, and the roadmap of constitutional referendum, parliamentary and presidential elections looks reasonably well set. Interestingly I’ve met in recent weeks (on the conference circuit) with management of TransGlobe, Circle Oil and SeaDragon, and all share similar sentiments. Maybe there is a Santa, both for us and for Egypt.
Next Newsflow is likely Avenant Signature, and 2013 Guidance outturn/net debt/2014 work programme, etc in early Jan.
Tom
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