RE: Ducks Line up20 Jan 2026 17:29
LITT
Whether or not its your misunderstanding of the agreement, or yet another example of AI being relied upon without proper comprehension, unfortunately your post contains another inaccuracy. You state:
“The Pivot: If 80 Mile decided they didn't want to wait for the second well or if March GL declined their 14-month option, 80 Mile would still own 50% of a now-proven asset. They could then choose to sell their stake to a major oil company, bring in a different partner, or as you suggested, essentially put their interest up for sale to the highest bidder while the market excitement is at its peak.”
That is simply wrong. The time frame is for MarchGL / GEC to decide - not 80M.
At that point in time it will be impossible for 80M to know if it will be the owner of 50% or 30%. It would simply not be able to sell a 50% stake without MarchGL / GEC’s having decided the path forward. Under the agreement, once the first hole is completed and 80M has relinquished 50%, they are contractually obliged to issue MarchGL (or GEC) with an option, exercisable for 14 months. Crucially, that option is exercisable at MarchGL’s (or GEC’s) discretion, NOT 80M’s.
Until MarchGL / GEC makes its decision, it is unclear whether 80M ultimately retains 50% or is diluted further to 30%. On that basis, the maximum stake that could even be argued as saleable at that moment would be 30%, not 50%. Realistically what large energy co. would consider buying a 30% stake in an asset with only one hole drilled (successfully or not) and an unknown partnership structure going forward? I’d suggest - none!
And equally crucial - that 14months is another 14months that 80M will have to fund itself. Fingers crossed that GS eventually gets restarted and (crucially) makes a profit by then. If not, I'd suggest more dilutive find raises are likely.