Sum of parts worth more than the whole18 Jun 2020 23:03
Sadly, the new BoD members stating how fantastic and clever the merger is without fully explaining exactly what is clever and fantastic will soon find that shareholders a re by in large not fickle nor dumb down as some Execs like to believe. The rational behind any merger or acquisition is if the sum og the newly merged group is worth more than the parts. In this case, that can't be proven. True CERP has some albeit minor production and BPC has speculative Mid East size structures, however, you can't combine the two and say they are now worth more. BPC has not production at all. On this basis there is a stronger case to be made for entities to remain separate. The reality points to both entities not making a good fit. The fact that Covid19 has presented "opportunities" in a suppressed oil market where consumption has declined does not make a case for a merger - rather the opposite. Post-merger we will have a BoD focused on minor production and it will be a case of CERP strategy taking over BPC. The opportunity presented by a discovery in the Bahamas will shifted into minor plays. Those that remain as LTH will find themselves taking the Bahamas potential to a ripe old age if not six foot under.
Hence, vote against the merger. Let's not get sidetracked with CERP's nickle and dimers.