RE: Farm-out fair deal or bad deal if happens!19 Feb 2026 12:40
You've answered that question for yourself already, Hamm. Take a look through your previous posts. Here's a reminder:
18th December 2025
'Do the math, just a reminder. With 65 million barrels of proven recoverable oil, and a net profit of $40 per barrel, the total net profit would be approximately $2.6 billion net profit just Heron feild. Gazelle? How much is that one?'
23rd December 2025;
'Real investors should focus on the real deal. With a farm-out on the horizon, this is clearly a win-win situation. The farmee makes good money as well, which is exactly why the deal makes sense. That’s why I believe that if and when the farm-out is secured, the rerate will follow — and I’m not talking about 50% or even 100%. I’m talking about a serious revaluation. Ultimately, it doesn’t matter who says what on this site. When it comes, it will come fast'
23rd December 2025:
'Assuming a farmee drills 50 wells over five years, each producing 150 barrels per day with a net profit of $40 per barrel, each well generates about $2.2 million net profit per year. If all profits are reinvested into drilling new wells at an assumed cost of $5 million per well, the project compounds quickly. By the end of year five, instead of just the original 50 wells, reinvestment lifts the total to roughly 118 producing wells entering year six. At that point, production would be around 17,700 barrels per day, or about 6.5 million barrels per year, giving an estimated net profit in year six of approximately $258 million'
Happy to help