valuation of iclaprim23 Jan 2020 10:07
"Motif is in the unusual position of being able to access a huge amount of data
accumulated in the earlier clinical development of iclaprim and this has defined the design and administration of the
additional trials required by the regulators. "
"Motif BioSciences Inc., as the result of the merger agreement with Nuprim Inc., acquired the exclusive rights to Nuprim’s
iclaprim assets and the rights to acquire 600 kilograms of iclaprim API over a period ending 31 December 2017.
So we paid 6m dollars roughly to acquire the rights and 600,000 kgs at the outset. "
How much more data have we got now,at what investment ! And we are one step from getting fda approval for TWO applications.
So in my view we do have a valuable asset- the question is what value ,and bearing in mind the outstanding hercules loan but also the recent reversal of the liability to advisers-net liability 4.7m dollars
At the moment we are valued at around 1,2m pounds net or 1,6m dollars . So essentially the market is valuing the iclaprim asset as the same as when we acquired it(6.3m) ,nothwithstanding the enormous amount of work carried on since.
If we get a further 12m pounds worth ie 16m dollars that would equate to around 2 p a share .
I think the share is undervalued .
I also think GL has tried to look after shareholders by crystallising the asset VALUE NOW for the current shareholding - much better than raising hugely dilutive equity with rewards much further down the track .(and he probably couldnt have got a raise away -it would have left us a small minority after a placing )I think he knows there is real value now ,as witness the statements about commercial interest ,and all the plans re the cash shell . So I am more optimistic than the doomsters .....and have further added !
BUT it is a gamble..............