RE: Trump…..☠️☠️☠️4 Apr 2026 16:10
I think Trump has gone a step too far in starting this war and it will ultimately end messily and lead to his downfall politically, although he will of course always claim victory. I think Trump thrives in simple scenarios where he has leverage and can force his narrative to come true, but this war is complex and becoming more unwieldy every day.
As for Saga, I still believe in the long term thesis but am slightly nervous about the medium term impact of the war - I’m not saying it will definitely impact them but I’m slightly less bullish than I was, given the unprecedented nature of the conflict and its knock on effects, eg oil prices in general, fuel availability, food prices, travel disruption. Fingers crossed for a positive update soon but I won’t be too surprised if there are some words of caution from management.
I’d be happy to be proved wrong though, on both of the above!