RE: Price action28 Apr 2022 11:17
I agree with January. They are losing money and unless things improve dramatically a raise will be required before Kouroussa is completed. Add a falling gold price and its tin hats time. I am overweight here, but unfortunately sub 10p would not surprise me. I won't participate in a raise if its required, which makes this very much an all or nothing play now aka gambling. I should have learnt my lesson with Dan Betts already. How many millions has he extracted from HUM now? I've found the new COO very uninspiring and the Yanfolila improvement plan just reads as fluff. The only thing if any substance was additional excavators and that doesn't seem to have helped much seen as some have been there throughout Q1. After the recent bout of unrest they said there was no damage to the plant and then, out of nowhere, a complete shutdown was required. It would seem they were shut down for a while, so the works/damage repair must have been substantial. I wonder how much the maintenance added to an increase in AISC, surely a little at least in terms of wages and materials. The recovery rates have improved, they have stockpiled some ore, and identified where they intend to source higher grade ore from going forward i.e. SW oxide. They have also said they will increase throughout, so we can see several variables which should increase production and reduce AISC. The worry, as ever, is instability in Mali, poor management, and here comes rainy season... Just thinking out loud.