RE: Directors Not Buying5 Sep 2022 11:06
It looks to me like the cash burn has been around $30m. The Kouroussa CAPEX was $90m and they had a $100m loan from Coris. There will of course be premining and ramp up costs, which if I remember correctly are around the $20m mark. There is a $20m overdraft and I notice they were already $5m into that. They also have the Bunker Hill shares and I am sure soon the Pasafino shares. I can't see a sale of Dugbe before the Kouroussa ramp up. As we all know the performance at Yanfolila is crucial here and I am nervously awaiting Q3 numbers. Based on their production guidance for the year, it is hard to envisage an AISC above $1500 if they are in target. That would mean around 25,000 ounces for the quarter. It would seem a huge turn around. The recoveries are good and the excavators seem to be running effectively from what we have been told. So I am hopefully there are processing higher grade ore, as per the mine plan, and we get a bumper Q3 and Q4. If they manage this then free cash should be $200 per ounce at present prices, which means $5,000,000 per quarter at $1700 gold. If they maintain that for the next 4 quarters you have an extra $20m, but G&A looks to be about $13m per annum at present (which needs to come down!). My summary, if everything goes according to plan (lmao), it is still very tight, but there is a chance of getting through without additional funding. The trouble is, if they mess anything up in the next year we will get annihilated. A raise at the current MCAP would decimate any future value we perceive. It would be great to see additional lending put in place as a much needed buffer! Fingers crossed, butt clenched.