My two-penn'orth25 Nov 2021 20:04
To me, the RNS said: “We’re going great guns, but due to a technical issue, and with little time left following unavoidable external audit delays, the accounts won’t be ready by 2/1/22, and share trading will unfortunately, under those pesky AIM rules, have to be suspended for a short while. And as we aren’t going into further detail about the issue, you can assume it’s not material to the results. The issue is certainly not serious enough of itself to warrant an immediate suspension”.
However, if the market wants to overinterpret the RNS, so be it. The press will also tend to blow it up out of all proportion – “that’s what they do”. However, today’s PDMR purchases support my interpretation, because my interpretation implies that there is no inside information here to get in the way of such purchases. BTW, I also put my money where my mouth is, and picked up 100k today at 17.99p.
Talking of purchases, Paul Goodson, who is one half of the Audit Committee, also bought some in March 21, i.e. late into the financial year during which the original investigation commenced. This gives me additional comfort that the issue is unlikely to be material, and is only relevant to the extent that it is holding up the issue of the Annual Report.
Finally, as the RNS confirmed, the business is fundamentally in good shape, so if the current SP weakness continues for much longer, I wonder if this will provoke a cheeky, opportunistic bid? However, I would expect the SP to recover somewhat in the coming weeks. It will be interesting to see if there are any major II sells in that time. I doubt it, but then they do have their arbitrary investment rules, don’t they?