Likelihood/consequences of delisting2 Apr 2022 21:00
unhooked - basically, depending how you hold your shares, a delist would mean difficulty selling them. Your best chance of realising your investment would probably be a takeover of DX.
However, shareholders are most unlikely vote for a voluntary delist: certainly I wouldn’t expect the largest shareholder Gatemore, who’ve played down the audit issue, to support a delist. So it can only be a compulsory delist, which will only come to pass if the BOD don’t pull their finger out, and get audited accounts out by the (extended?) deadline.
But a compulsory delist would have all sorts of unpleasant, and sometimes unintended, consequences - and not just regarding the difficulty in selling shares - and I'd expect some strong lobbying of the BOD from IIs and PIs alike to avoid it at all costs.
For a start, when you invest in a listed company, you don’t expect it to be run in such a, dare I say it, negligent way as to lose its listing, and depending on the full facts surrounding the “disciplinary issue”, a compulsory delist would lay the BOD open to legal action by shareholders disadvantaged by it (eg because their shares will have to be removed from any ISA, or a property purchase relying on the proceeds of sale of shares cannot complete, etc). And it’d be a relatively clear-cut case against the BOD if they don’t come up with a credible defence to GT’s allegations.
A delist would also be demotivating for many shareholder-employees if they are unable to cash in their shares.
It would also mess up DX’s employee share schemes, which rely on the existence of a quoted SP to objectively measure performance, and from which the BOD have most to gain, or lose.
So a delist is definitely not a desired outcome at this time for almost anyone involved, despite the possible attractions, in terms of reduced compliance, to the management of DX becoming effectively a “private” company. Certainly, a “planned” compulsory delist would be an irresponsible and abusive way of getting round any lack of shareholder interest in a voluntary delist. If I were a director, I’d feel very exposed if I were part of such a maneouvre. And I’m sure the NOMAD - who thankfully hasn’t seen fit to resign despite no doubt being privy to the audit issue - will be strongly advising against it. Certainly, looking at the latest cheery RNS on 14/3 – which will have been approved by the NOMAD - it looks (deceptively?) like “business as usual”.
But the most pressing issue right now, is that in order to avoid a delist, they will almost certainly need an extension to the accounts deadline. I would therefore have expected the company or the NOMAD to have sounded out AIM on this by now, assuming a replacement auditor has now been found. Perhaps the company is waiting for a formal response from AIM before updating us? Of course, it must also be assumed that the disciplinary issue is now history, ie is no longer an audit issue, but we still have no idea what the latest is on t