THG FUNDAMENTALS - BARGAIN SP21 Mar 2023 15:20
The fundamentals of THG do not align to the current MCAP it is as simple as that. The MCAP should be at least £2billion aligned to the fundamentals below. Also with activist investor news, reports of US private equity preparing a takeover bid and golden share expiry imminent these are all material flags that highlight the SP needs a huge re-rate in the weeks ahead.
In its latest trading statement from January 2023, THG reported record sales of GBP2.25bn in FY22, with 9.4% growth in THG Beauty and THG Nutrition primary territories.
The company also manages its costs well making GBP100m of saving last year and targeting GBP30m more of cost saving this year.
It has curated a loyal following – 80% of its sales came from repeat custom.
But the company doesn’t just sell lipgloss, eyeliner and vitamin pills; it’s a tech company in its own right, having developed THG’s Ingenuity, an end-to-end tech platform for online retailers, which it has licenced out.
Although the software-as-a-service product still is a modest contributor to THG’s revenues, contributing GBP208m to overall group revenues of GBP2.2bn, at the close of the year, it has seen a growth in revenue of 51.6% over the past two years.
With a strong cash-in-hand position, some GBP470m at the year’s end, and a GBP170, newly negotiated revolver to draw on, whilst at the same time cutting group net debt from GBP200m to GBP160m, THG is in a more than comfortable position for 2023.