No one will crack Quindell now30 Oct 2015 10:03
Looking at the 30th Sept 2015 RNS on the Interim Half Year Accounts, our Chairman says Quindell have been notified of a possible shareholder claim, in two aspects, amounting to a maximum of £18m. However, no aspects of the claim have been identified and an actual claim has not been made. If someone was setting out to blackmail a company, how would it be different?
Also, toting up actual and possible figures, and excluding Capital Refund for a moment, the company could have as much as £700m in cash assets by the end of 2015. If the refund is £1/share to 450m-ish shares then Cash-in-Hand at end 2015 could be as much as £250m. You could argue off £50m, depends on some events, but I still feel close to £250m is possible and likely.
By end 2015 the subsidiaries would have had the benefit of being part of a group for seven months that is the most cash-rich group on AIM. Again, after a bit of research and IMHO, strong growth in sales could be well underway. It is also possible that a few more 'non-core' subsidiaries may have been sold enabling 100% focus on Telematics Insurance related business. What competitor on the planet can equal this opportunity?
We should expect an RNS shortly from the BoD to confirm an EGM in November 2015 to approve a target Capital Refund process (method and amount), normally a minimum of 14 days notice is required. A Court hearing will be attended on 2nd Dec 2015 to sound out if a further (full?) application is viable yet on the Capital Refund actual payout. (This is extracted from Chairman's statement on 30th Sept 2015).
My Interim Conclusion is this. After Cap Ref Payout, and at end Dec 2015, SP will be worth over 50p/share in cash alone. If (public) confidence has started to build in our subsidiaries performance, then another 25p to 50p /share should be good.
That makes the current share value something approaching £2, against a £1-ish now.
I may be an Old Ramper, but all parties have to admit that things are definitely looking up.
I'm still going for £4 after 2015 Audit is out, likely April 2016.
ATB, P