Putting the effects of the latest protests to one side. Petrol in Iran is 10p a litre!!! People bilking petrol stations here would do better driving to Iran to fill up their modified vehicles plus they’d get a bit of a holiday thrown in.
Nothing new new, debt is close to crossing 2bn, a psychological barrier:-) still, after TLW yesterday this is an update with no surprises either way- just hope all the interest in zama materialises.
Now they have pulled out of conservative seats the chance of a Corbyn govt is receding with banks well up today (metro excepted :-). After a conservative election win snapping up metro would be appealing to many banks, no?
So an investment now might bag(prob more than) on a TO bid or all the reports fizzle out and we’re back to 200ish? Sounds like the upside is outweighing the downside by some margin.
Everything looks good except debt and oil-price volatility. The debt being specific to PMO. So with a Zama sale it’ll be interesting to see the size of the increase in SP as this gives a ballpark figure on what further debt reductions will bring.
Looking at 2018 results, debt was 2552MM and interest 372MM so an approx interest rate of 14.5% !! A zama sale of 400MM then means a reduction in interest payments of 60MM. So the gross profit would have been raised by around 38% - that’s got to be worth a bit on the SP and it sure doesn’t look priced in at present. A company with a MC of 656MM with 200+MM profits sounds like a great investment but alas in a risky sector.