Future strategy of BMN15 Sep 2018 08:41
I wonder what impact the strike will have, if any, on strategic planning at the highest level within BMN? It has certainly highlighted the vulnerability of having just one source of revenue, not just in terms of lost production but also leaving the company exposed to future industrial action.
If we know anything about Fortune Mojapelo it is that he is a superb strategist. Will this situation prompt him to revisit future investment plans, including those at Vametco, and to re-assess potential alternative plans for production of Vanadium elsewhere?
We know that he is interested in acquiring a brown field site (some here have discussed Vanchem?) but, given the increasing profitability of each ton of Vanadium produced as prices continue to rise, then does a new plant at Mokopane begin to look equally interesting? Access to any required debt funding should be more accessible as profits become clear. Cash flows from Vametco, once production resumes, will be increasing and could contribute significantly to such a project, particularly as BMN now own 75% of the plant and the profits.
I have no idea if any of the above will be influenced by the strike, but I would be very surprised if the actions and attitudes of part of the workforce at Vametco has no impact on BMN management's thoughts about the future direction of the company.
I hope this action is resolved quickly and that the settlement is both sustainable and fair to the employees, company and shareholders. I can't help feeling that a protracted and bitter dispute will not be in the long term interests of the workforce, potentially impacting on future investment at Vametco.
Fortune has demonstrated in the past that he can be flexible and change direction when necessary. He is likely to take whatever action is necessary to ensure the success of his strategy to build a low cost vertically integrated vanadium platform. All involved should be aware of this.
All of the above is just my opinion.
Regards. Pdub.