RE: Timeline?1 May 2022 11:32
bankboy
I think 12.5p is a good price and I was very tempted myself, but I'm being very picky with Lithium stocks. I just put a limit order on EMH @65p. Like the order I have on ZNWD, if it gets filled I'll be very happy, if not I will take a look at it again.
I hold ZNWD, ALL, BHL, CUSN, EMH, KOD, and RIO.
I only have pocket change in KOD as of the bunch I hold I view it as the least likly to survive, and would probably close that position with the first small profit I can take.
RIO isn't a pure play Lithium stock and I have a substantial holding in that stock which provides me with some worthwhile dividends, while having the potential for the FTSE 100 giant to become a worthwhile Lithium play. This stock I am unlikely to sell as I have a very good average price and its a bit of a cash cow for me.
The remaining Lithium stocks I hold is anyones guess, I'm hoping one will come good.
The trouble is that there isn't a shortage of lithium in the ground, its abundant. The problem is that there is a shortage of it being mined and bottlenecks in production to battery grade material.
Mining in general tends to be cyclical in its nature, at the moment demand is high and supply is low.
This leads to lots of mining/exploration companies being created and increased Lithium prices.
The increase in Lithium prices will allow many of these projects to be economically viable.
However as Lithium production increases and demand becomes satisfied, the price of Lithium will drop and some of the mines will no longer be viable and will fail. Demand will continue to grow and Lithium prices will rise again.
This will be over a longer timeframe of course, but its the nature of cyclical stocks.
My personal opinion is that the viability of ZNWD, and the other stocks I have mentioned is based on lower Lithium prices than those currently quoted, so they have the potential to stay the distance.
But as the saying goes 'There's many a slip 'twixt the cup and the lip', so I won't be betting the house on any of them.