RE: Poly value27 Jul 2022 12:34
@Panda, IMO strong dollar will bankrupt the third world and put many other countries in difficult positions, therefore I cannot see a strong dollar longterm (talking more than a year as I know long-term can mean daily to some :) ).
As inflation starts to come down, even if not to 2% but 4-5ish I expect fed to stop and possibly lower interest rates whilst they tighten or keep interest rates and stop tightening. A strong dollar is also not good for US companies who have global revenue and as much of US wealth is in the market they will not allow this to fall the way some are talking (eg another 50-80% drop when we are already down20%).
What they might also do is send money to other countries which will weaken the dollar globally but won't affect inflation in the US as only the 'Eurodollar' is expanding. (yes can be crossover but sure you get the point).
Anyway long story short, I think the next 10-20 years are going to be very good for commodities and in turn miners with the increased demand from electric cars, green energy sources, the increasing wealth of middleclass in China etc.
That obviously doesn't mean it will go straight up or that Russia won't in a few years decide it wants to grab some of Kz but unfortunately most of the ores and minerals are in dangerous geographies so that's the risk you take and let's face it anyone who's bought in here since the drop should be very aware of the risks.
All IMO, DYOR, blah blah, etc but I've been buying miners the last year or two and intend to continue (though not all in one geog or commodity type)