Member Info for Onbeyondzebra

No Roger. You're right, I don't pretend to be a nice person. But you're wrong in that I came on here telling people to sell. I was telling people to sell "on the rises" and to buy back in situations like this. That is how real investors make money. I also cautioned about creating fanciful narratives, and reading every RNS with rose tinted glasses. Investment choices should really not be informed by mental processes like this, and inevitably lead to significant loses. I was also explaining the different considerations one should be taking into account when deciding those all important timings, while leaving it to every individual to decide for themselves. Do you not see that by calling for everyone to disregard any realistic appraisal of the share, you are ramping? Clearly not. As I said, I sleep well at night know I tried to help. The thought experiment, which I proposed last week, of selling at 5.6 and 5.2 last week would have gained a shareholder £4,000 on a £10,000 investment. Perhaps you should reflect on how much you have 'helped' people on this board.

Roger, revisit our conversations from the last two weeks. I tried to bring an iota of realism to the discussions on this board, and even suggested approaches that would mitigate losses for investors. I'm on a free ride and can happily afford to take the hit today, and was trying to show others how to get into the position. For that I was attacked by people like you that called me a troll and accused me of trying to run down the SP to buy back in cheaper. And... where are we today. My suggestions to sell on the spikes the last two weeks, and to wait before buying back in, would have (and, who knows, may have) saved some people quite a lot of money. Your incessant ramping just contributed in bringing loads of people over the cliff with you. I don't pretend to be anything other than harsh but fair, but let's make no mistake that you cause a lot more damage to those around you than I do.

It's certainly derisked. There's no risk at all, because there's nothing to show (other than a dodgy rig) and they are back to exactly where they were in 2021. And if you think the SP is only going up from here, you should really do a little research into the SP trajectory of AIM explorers before transferring your hard earned into the bank accounts of others. That said, I'm not complaining...

Roger, I really wonder what would have to happen for you to look at things in a realistic way. Maybe if the rig was destroyed by a Tomahawk missile? That said, I'd imagine you'd still try to spin it and, I have to admit, I'd probably enjoy the effort. Just as I am enjoying seeing you floundering around today.

"Then explain why they are not simply plugging and abandoning..."

They are... just not today. They won't invest another penny revisiting a problem well where they can't even run the wireline all the way to the bottom because of "operational challenges".

Not the news anyone wanted, but the writing was on the wall. Always surprised at the ability for some to see everything with rose tinted glasses. There is nothing good in this. He1 is an explorer: "we got a lot of valuable information" is code for unmitigated disaster after we just drilled a hole in the middle of nowhere; it was, and always will be, commercial or bust, and it would be good for investors to remember that.

As for SP movement, which is my area of expertise, I wouldn't touch it with a barge poll right now. I was buying low and selling high the last few weeks, but (as I always do with explorers) reduce my holding close to results. They are almost never good. Even when they are exceptionally good (e.g. Greatland Gold) it just creates wild fluctuations and may take up to a year for the SP to really rerate as there are all the joint venture problems (Greatland) or massive raising to extract the resource (HUR). As to why I would need a much lower SP to buy? We're going to have some dead cat bounces today, but it should drift down over the next few weeks as interest wanes. Then there's the raise that really just has to be around the corner. I think I'll wait for the raise drop and buy more in at that stage. We're probably talking about the mid 2s at that stage, I should think, depending on how much they decide to dilute this time.

It was toying with this all day yesterday. As I’ve stated multiple times, there is a money making opportunity here as it heads into the low 4s (despite what people say, I don’t see it in the 3s without a negative RNS), it’s just counter-intuitive for most of you to make money by selling then buying.

As I said last week, there's going to be SP carnage this week. This will test the low 4s if we don't get an RNS by tomorrow. Trading 101: there's more than one way to make money. If you think it's going lower, sell a chunk and buy back the same number of shares tomorrow/later in the week. Cash magically appears in your trading account. I'll get pilloried for suggesting such at thing, but let's keep track shall we? I suggested on Friday (at sp: 5.60) that smart investors should sell up part of their holding. Let's check back in 48 hours how much money they could have made if they sold up £10,000 worth then and now (@ sp 5.20).

You're right Turbot, all AIM explorers end with happy endings and all the LTHs being rich beyond their wildest dreams. Just not HUR, UKOG, NUOG, ANGS etc. etc. Oh wait... can't think of any right now, but keep telling yourself fairy-tales.

SP will keep falling this week as pi's get squeaky bums, but short term SP movement doesn't really matter. It's all going to hinge on the next RNS and whether they'll be able to get the string out or not (and within a good time). It's becoming a binary share. Moments like these when I'm glad I'm on a free ride.

Hardly hope sp completely crumbles, but we’re not at the stage yet where we’re worrying about substantial delays. No RNS by Tuesday and the sp is only going in one direction. Let’s just hope it just bottoms out at the low 4s like it did last time.

Agreed, it will probably hold up well enough today but next week might be a bloodbath if there’s not an RNS early in the week. As always with HE1, it pays to sell into the rise (though I was of course laughed at yesterday for doing so).

Funny thing how many times you hear that from little pi’s with a couple thousand invested. I suspect my he1 holding is still multiples of your entire portfolio, even after selling hard into this past rise. The difference is you’re betting on the company, and I’m betting on you betting on the company. As a thought experiment, calculate how many times this has dropped into the high 4s low 5s and gone up into the 6s in the past 6 weeks. Those were 20%+ rises you could have been pocketing, if you weren’t bleating on about this amazing discovery and waiting for all your dreams to come true. As I’ve said a number of times, it goes up to 10p - 20p etc. happy days, I’ll by a yacht; it goes down tomorrow and I’ll buy up cheap shares when it reaches my target. There is a way to invest so that you win either way. Why on earth would I want to do it your way, where there are only paper loses and dilution waiting for me?

well turbo, if you attempt to raise the level (so that everyone’s not just ******* each other off) maybe some investors with something meaningful to say come out of the woodwork. don’t run everyone on the board down. i’m sure we’ve got a silent minority that aren’t morons and halfwits.

Agreed… interesting (or not so interesting) their analysis always coincidently matches their narrative and investment position. Price goes down, and it’s because there’s a big buyer lurking in the shadows; price goes up and it’s because helium has been discovered and it’s a leaky ship. Over the last two days, I suspect neither of those things are true. As they say, a fool and their money easily parted… One day they’ll realise that the ones they are writing to on this board are the very ones they are competing against. Money is being transferred from one pi’s trading account to another simply by dint of who has their timing better in terms of buying and selling.

Was happy to sell into the rise early this morning. Have lots more powder dry if it continues to rise, but my guess it drops back quite a lot over tomorrow and Monday and I can start accumulating shares again in the low fives (or lower). As always happens, the sp will deflate on no news and there should be a quiet period for a few days/week before anything meaningful. Again, not a message for LTHs, but rather those that like making money and derisking their investment.

Thanks Reggie, just happy to help out. Leyser, “LTH” with an AIM stock - and an explorer at that which by necessity dilutes its float every 6 months. LTH sounds like you’re a loyal, upstanding kind of guy but have you considered perhaps that’s the problem right there. You may want to consider reading the Naked Trader and don’t skip over the chapter on separating your emotions from your investments. I think he even mentions that share loyalty - especially with tiny micro-cap companies - guarantees you will be underwater sooner rather than later. But hey ho, a few more days like today and even you will be smiling.

Ok Jolly, I'm feeling charitable, I will explain to you how it works for those of us that make money. I don't ramp or deramp because I win either way. Unless you have your entire pension pot in HE1, then I likely have two or three times the amount till invested, that you have invested. The difference is that I'm up 230% so my invested amount is a free ride. The share goes up a lot in a day, I sell off a lot of shares (like today in two tranches); the share goes down low enough, I stock up. I win no matter what happens. What doesn't really help me is the SP stays static for weeks on end... though there's no worry about that here. So for me, sure, ra ra, "there be helium in those hills" and, yet, simultaneously, "it's a duster folks". People like me don't have to ramp or deramp, simply because of the profile of the typical AIM investor: you fall in and out of love with speculative shares and stick with them, or sell up, while the SP tumbles, and buy in (like today) when the SP is rocketing. The only difference is that I do the opposite as you... thus why I'm up quite a lot of money, and you are underwater. I hope that helps JollyRoger.

But, this makes no sense. I wrote a couple messages that weren’t overtly praising HE1 and the SP went up 10%. What about the direct correlation between messages on this board and SP performance. I’m so confused!!! = P

Wow… so all I have to say is that I don’t have time for ramping or decamping and that’s enough for you to start calling me Monika (?!?). Well, I would say you definitely have a nice persecution complex brewing in that mind of yours. Mate, you are underwater in your investments (I presume) because of the choices you yourself made (mainly, I’m guessing, you don’t know when to sell). It’s not the fault of anyone else on this board. There’s no such thing as conmen (who have stolen your money), MMs that are out to get you etc. If you had half a brain you’d understand that no one has to ramp or deramp because this is an AIM explorer! … the very definition of a volatile stock in Invetopedia. Or, haven’t you noticed the 10% swing in SP every 24 hours for the last three years? Well, this has been fun but, as I said, too busy to ramp, deramp…and explain basics to idiots.

NotSoJolly: deramp? God, who has time for that. You think it makes a jot of difference to a SP, I don’t? And, yes, happy to trade AIM ‘explorers’ all day long. I invest in proper investments, and I trade the fluctuating speculations like HE1, just like all the grownups here that make more money than they lose.