Member Info for Oleo

https://satellites.pro/Australia_map#-16.841540,133.652348,18

Maybe he is a little shy?

Newto
- I have no operatioal shalegas experience (all shalegas know how is in the US and I am no American ) but I got some tight gas experience ...
- With condensate a phenomenon like a condensate ring can happen . There are some tricks but none of this activities, including chemicals as you mentioned, that's not much help or game changing
- I read articles about the mentioned production curves some years ago. Rystad and good old "oil and gas financial journal" could be public sources that could help you. But not just the production decline curve, the estimated ultimate recovery EUR is important and costs, and pore throats and and and...
https://www.rystadenergy.com/newsevents/news/newsletters/UsArchive/shale-newsletter-october-2017/
https://www.rystadenergy.com/newsevents/news/newsletters/UsArchive/shale-newsletter-january-2017/
https://www.rystadenergy.com/newsevents/news/press-releases/improvement-in-bakken-shale/
https://www.rystadenergy.com/newsevents/news/press-releases/mixed-evidence/

Long knife
I am disappointed too. If a real oil company would have a gusher in the backyard, they would communicate, act in a different way...

We need good and better test production rates. ASAP.
1, 2, 3, ... MMcftpd + 3, 5, 8 hundred bbl of hydrocarbon condensate per day per test well.
That's the only parameter that will make a difference for the share price.

Last year we were told that inflow from reservoir water with high salt content killed the well.
Now they tell us that the well was lifted with nitrogen and they got a free flow of 17 h only.
Did the inflow from reservoir water kill again the well?
I suppose that the reservoir water inflow was the problem again. That would explain to me, why they stopped lifting the well with coiled tubing. If you have too much water inflow the strategy of lifting is not a sustainable method and a waste of money. If the water inflow rate is too high , the jet pump won't help neither.
For this well , using the infos from the releases, the water saturation issue, the reservoir water influx are not derisked in my opinion.
Yes it is a good sign that we have seen some burnable gas for 17 h again and some liquid hydrocarbon and just a small amount of CO2, but the reservoir water saturation / inflow has the potential to spoil the party for this well. I am afraid the notification of a discovery was done , not because this well is gusher but for political reasons and to get some time for a new and hopefully better plan.

At the end of this day I am glad that the operator did not declare the well as a duster. For me the hitherto existing test results are disappointing.
The Fog waiting game is prolonged, till we hopefully see a flare with some more lumen and watt than a pocket lamp one day in the Beetaloo. Will take another sleeping and patience pill.

Schlemiel, it's good to see this support from Australia. We will need this support for the next wells in the Beetaloo.

Amazing links.
I am pretty sure about the location of the flare stack on the well site.
But I am not sure about my interpretation skills of satellite images. From the 2 nocturnal images I would say the flare is compareable to a pocket lamp only?
From the other images one could derive that Org came back and increased activity at the well site on 4th of Jan 2021 after Christmas holidays and after New Year holidays. (And we learned that they did not have 24/7 operations after Christmas till the first week of Jan)
At the moment with the here existing infos I would say: does not look like the behavior of a gusher but still there should be a chance (or better the hope?) to get some hydrocarbons to surface finally. Could be that they have delays because of technical problems etc. But I am afraid this particular well test does not transform Fog into a billion $ company now.

Yes, the gray pixel should be the coiled tubing unit, rigged up near and perpendicular to the wellhead.
With this images I do not expect to see the flame of the flare (except when they burn a high amount of liquid hydrocarbon, then perhaps we could see some black smoke)
A good burning flame of a gas flare with methan does not have a good contrast to the blue sky.
So for the gas flare we need images shot during the night. This flare should be seen easily; especially, we do not have any light sources near the well site. The drilling rig left so they should not have many lamps on the well site anymore and a big flare should have much more lumen&watts.
The second possibility is the wild fire alarm satellite.
PS: thank you for sharing the video (much better than clicking on every single image)

With the injected gas you create a secondary gas cap, some pressure and you push hopefully some extra oil to the production wells.

Gray not great pixel

When you compare the image from 14th of Dec with the images from 3rd and 8th of Jan there is a great pixel near the wellhead, which I interprete as CT unit.
https://soar.earth/?service=WMS&request=GetMap&bbox=14880151.427852381,-1901334.6474886409,14876270.32718108,-1905224.2407215887&description=&time=2020-11-14/2020-11-14/2020-11-14/2020-11-14&layers=TRUE_COLOR_PREVIEW&layerKey=TRUE_COLOR&title=Sentinel%202&image_data=https://services.sentinel-hub.com/ogc/wms/28b4c9f0-28ea-4d19-8bb7-1bfc9f18c9bc?height=7001AMPERSAND1width=14001AMPERSAND1bbox=14884048.826385085,-1901334.6474886409,14876270.32718108,-1905224.24072158871AMPERSAND1service=WMS1AMPERSAND1request=GetMap1AMPERSAND1layers=TRUE_COLOR_PREVIEW1AMPERSAND1format=image%2Fpng1AMPERSAND1transparent=true1AMPERSAND1version=1.1.11AMPERSAND1showlogo=false1AMPERSAND1name=Sentinel-2%20L1C1AMPERSAND1width=1001AMPERSAND1height=1001AMPERSAND1maxcc=1001AMPERSAND1time=2020-11-14/2020-11-14%2F2020-11-14/2020-11-141AMPERSAND1bbox=14880151.427852381,-1901334.6474886409,14876270.32718108,-1905224.24072158871AMPERSAND1crs=EPSG:3857
But the interpretation of the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System shows only nitrogen or nothing flowing through the flare.

Hydrocarbon test production flow rate = burning flare. The bigger the better.

No burning flare = tight reservoir or damage or reservoir water flow ... = no flow, no test production rate of flammable hydrocarbons = decrease of Beetaloo's value.

Fog told us that the equipment for the CT job was transported to the well location before Christmas. A standard CT job can be done during 5 working days easily.
Till today we see no hints with the satellites and do not hear any hints from Org/Fog.
The reasons could be:
- logistics problems because of the dirt roads
- technical problems with the CT unit or the well
- instead of gas and hydrocarbon condensate, the well is producing only water, reservoir water.
The first and second issue can be solved, the third problem is a real problem. Even when there is still a high volume of spent frac fluid in the near well bore area, at some point I would expect a gas break through, enough to ignite the flare - if the water saturation of the reservoir is not too high.

Rtd, we still wait for a comparable video from Org/Fog https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Hu2pqtTvYKU
JP, depends on the size of the flare.

When it is connected to the oil price: Never ever bet against Saudi Arabia

At the beginning, when you have too much nitrogen plus some methan it could be that the flare does not burn. Means we should see a methan signature.
A little bit less nitrogen and it could burn, but not good. This bad burning flare should have a carbonmonoxide signature.
No need for nitrogen, because enough gas is flowing, and we get a perfect burning flare. Means we should get a carbondioxide signature.
I am not a specialist for combustion but I would expect the described cases.

If they have not been on holidays during the week between xmas and new year, I would expect some results every day now, positive or negative ones
Deprusskylink
https://soar.earth/?service=WMS&request=GetMap&bbox=14880151.427852381,-1901334.6474886409,14876270.32718108,-1905224.2407215887&description=&time=2020-11-14/2020-11-14/2020-11-14/2020-11-14&layers=TRUE_COLOR_PREVIEW&layerKey=TRUE_COLOR&title=Sentinel%202&image_data=https://services.sentinel-hub.com/ogc/wms/28b4c9f0-28ea-4d19-8bb7-1bfc9f18c9bc?height=7001AMPERSAND1width=14001AMPERSAND1bbox=14884048.826385085,-1901334.6474886409,14876270.32718108,-1905224.24072158871AMPERSAND1service=WMS1AMPERSAND1request=GetMap1AMPERSAND1layers=TRUE_COLOR_PREVIEW1AMPERSAND1format=image%2Fpng1AMPERSAND1transparent=true1AMPERSAND1version=1.1.11AMPERSAND1showlogo=false1AMPERSAND1name=Sentinel-2%20L1C1AMPERSAND1width=1001AMPERSAND1height=1001AMPERSAND1maxcc=1001AMPERSAND1time=2020-11-14/2020-11-14%2F2020-11-14/2020-11-141AMPERSAND1bbox=14880151.427852381,-1901334.6474886409,14876270.32718108,-1905224.24072158871AMPERSAND1crs=EPSG:3857

When you use this link you can see fire alarms in Feb 2019 near or at our well location
https://gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/static/gwis_current_situation/public/index.html

For orientation use the stuart highway, daly waters and the farm (east from stuart highway). The wellsite is southeast from the farm

Without covid 19, we would know the production test results sine one year
https://www.southpark.de/en/episodes/yy0vjs/south-park-the-pandemic-special-season-24-ep-1

H2, as soon as there is a big enough gas inflow from the reservoir, we will get a continously burning flare. The more gas the bigger . Fingers crossed that they got the geophysical log interpretation, especially for the gas/water saturation correct.