TCF9 Feb 2019 05:18
Having something to sell is largely down to TD, having the balls to bid in Mexico when everyone else was on the sidelines was his decision. Eon was his decision and frankly it saved PMO. Tolmount is at full steam, what else can they do to speed it up. It looks fast track already. Yes, TD was at the helm when PMO walked itself into a lot of complicated debt and yes he deserves a bollicking for that but so do others with oversight. Solan FID was poor to say the least but how many other decisions were poor with oil at 100+. If I didn't think that TD was a capable CEO I wouldn't buy shares in PMO, simple as that.
Debt is an issue and will remain so until leverage is below 1.5 and that's a moving target with POO & other factors. For sure we should sell Zama, but before its properly appraised would definitely be a bad decision and worthy of firing the CEO. But 62 oil is not a death sentence, hedging is good. If they get some more assets that improve the balance sheet then its got to be good too. BE is 45 because we sold some cheap to operate but ageing assets, otherwise we would be down around 42 as I had hoped. Catcher also helped push BE up. I can tell you without a doubt that there are many companies that would find $45 BE a lofty target and some of them big. The issue is Debt, with a sale of Zama at 400 to 500 million and further debt reduction in 2019 of 300 to 400 that would drop debt to 1.5billion by rear end 2019 assuming mid points for both contributions. That's going to bring debt closer to 1.5 billion YE. 1.6billion if we choose the lower figure and 1.4 billion the higher end.
Same here, until there is a light at end of debt tunnel and some talk of share holder returns then this SP will languish, and if it does go back towards the 50,s I will buy some more.