Member Info for notgreedy

Given the general drive- manipulatios - down biting of commodities from various sides and various reasons combined with egos of those two gentlemen you mentioned anything is possible. I do belive that 100 m might not be enought and that proportionately pog ( refinancing of debt on this scale if sucsseceful will not be cheap and will only delay big boys making big money at the expense of PIs longer term) has better chance of making money for longs PIs . I see those two in same boat debt size wise. Imo, arms would have to come up with simular ( to pog) massive RI to stand chance. Again, just my opinion.

Looking back now, I think I was lucky with my long, even then I belived sp was pumped up, but volotilyt was big enought to follow the herd. If I didn't get it right I would've taken short at the same time. You are right re short, had to take Jun contract for it sadly. Liquidity will not be a problem for much longer,imo. I don't think I'll be that greedy to wait for 5p retrace with masive RI, but am likely to take parallel long below 9p if it is to hapen next week. I see 2-4 weeks of high volotilyt remaining here, for those who got in below4-5p long term could be interesting. Rocshilds are coming out of fossil fuels allegedly, so they have to minimise losses somehow, attention.

Halo, I'm ''mad''. I did have a very short long till Friday tho, but on the balance of probabilities , sudden sp rise v what is known - fundamentals - RI.... I've taken the view that drop in sp is more likely than rise. I could be wrong so pay no attention to my current position here. I do agree with your views on Ophir - Smdr and afr. Gl

Are you still short here? I added more short yesterday and today, closed most my longs too. Time for masive profit taking is approaching fast, imo. Could sub £30 be on the cards within month or two?

For yet another RI? Few big brains in this co, fine products- potential , but will take few senturies for mwg to make profit. Somebody might have a punt with it and buy it for 5m which I reckon would be mcap by h2 of next year should mwg be unsuccessful with new RI. They have no borowing cose nobody would lend to nonprofitable business that has losess dwarfing to. On the bright side mwg can't be shorted( easily).

I've expresed my belief that sp is more likely to move against brokers recommendation, as it often is on many stocks this days. Now I wonder how long it will talke to revisit £35ish.

Halo all, AJ you are right, mks had a bit of a better luck , so wise, recently than tsco, might even had less hidden away than same. It could be even Xmas hype- festive optimism that has helped mks sp. funny how brokers praise on various co resoults in drop of sp. I think big boys are pushing sp up knowing it will suck in enought new money in so thay can trash mks sp later and make even more money. I can't see mks doing better now than in past few years . Opium good to see you are ok. To balance it , I never bought anything in mks for different reasons, but did get many mks Xmas prezys .

I made realistic sp on the basis of sp galloping and outpacing current and potential growth some credit to SHP should apply but from ouder £30 to £50 is disproportionate,imo. Business has not grown that much , hardly any divi, not much would have to go not quite right for reality of pace ot growth to be sized with all the risks. Saying that SHP sp might indeed hover around £50 , wee shall see.

No, but they could should they wish so and, I think they will when it suits them or they are forced by market( vilotyle sp movements ) to clarify their intentions . If roomers re TO continues they will be asked to make a statement.

rhambo, as much as post TO drop was overdone, I think this good run is to. When sence kick in and manipulatios subside, more realistic and still generous sp would be closer to £40 than £50. Remember, abv was willing to pay silly money for SHP as a way to dodge tax and pump up bods chest. from business point of view, to pay for something that wod take decades to make money back on is silly. But from point of personal gained Abv's bod would have in verity of ways is ,short term, immeasurable. Pharma business is not just tricky but high risk too. Just my thoughts.

Rhambo, I was wondering if you put stop loss on that short of yours. I hedged mine and I'm thinking of reducing if not closing my long here and adding short. I reckon there will be profit taking soon and with Pfizer 's. dropping of AZN TO there will be inevitably drop in shp sp. what do you think of that scenario ?

When press is hailing, it is time to take short. Combined with ,imo, soon to come confirmation from Pfizer that to will be dropped expect big swings. Admission that growth will not return till 2017, at best, will test patience of few.

Divi day has changed to Thursday , few weeks back. Today might be a begining of a fast reversal to near £2 for sbry, unless it is allowed to be within teesing reach of £3 just to be sank mercilessly like a drowning man.

I take it my fine analyst had not made you sell up, even after getting my blessing for it ? Changed your opinion ?

You would've been a bit better of if you got out earlier this morning ,as I did, at about 280, and than taken short. Imo your summary is spot on, problem for long term shareholder is there is more than a week for sp to go down before divi date. After that, I recon there would be savage rerating to low 200,s. Gla

Well, shouldn't be to difficult for them to make money shorting mks at this-those levels. Even bod is selling out, they have no confidence in their own business - sp recovering short-mid or long term. They could've waited few days-weeks and not make it so obvious, but they didn't, they wanted to sell at the peak never mind shareholders high hopes for recovery.

do it then

11p - 12% of todays sp guaranteed in, few months. I think that is not bad risk-reward balance. If oil price recoveres above $95, which is not unlikely in same period of time, you are looking at additional 15-25% on sp. Summery, I think, from this sp probable 30% return with divi, if not 45%. imo come Feb sp could be £115-135p. By then opec-SA would be rained in by usa to reduce production and with help of averidge winter and no more than usual market jitters-geopolitic shananegans 135p looks acheavale. gla

Lol rhambo, they was brutal but honest. Back to shp, pattern is broken today. Tiny higher open than yesterday's close price and still lingering around same sp. struggle for direction, interesting. My guess would be you have better chance getting your target price today, Friday affect. Roy101, abuse and manipulations is the name of this game. One just tries to guess the likelihood of the direction of same in order to make money. Many did and will make money that way. Gla

with lunch time dip back to day low. Should be the same tomorrow, but will it? Friday + some more negativity to resurface for good measure, we shall see.