RE: Bought more25 Sep 2024 12:36
In my opinion golds running up into the $3000's, lets pretend the global economy is guaranteed to soft land, which given the FED's 50bps cut seems they don't even really believe this but lets pretend.
The Global turn back to QE, decreasing rates, inflation remaining somewhat high, record emerging market gold buying, economic trouble and increased QE in China, central bank pivot to gold, weakening dollar and unfortunately global geopolitical instability will see Gold continue to rise. Golds pulled away this year all the while US institutional and retail Gold ETFs have seen predominate outflows.
Nearly every scenario points to a higher POG. The already 38% rise in gold over the last year should be equating to many multiples more in SP, especially when you consider its really the margin you should look at, which has gone from $800 to now $1500, near double earnings which typically shares are valued on multiples of. Once this minelife hopefully gets derisked, this share has a long way to go just as a correction, let alone future prospects in Gold...