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Keeping with my original methodology.. Using todays trades:

If today's share price and trades are a tea leaf prediction

they are telling us that is it is now 60% certain that there will be no RNS tomorrow and no new information of any

price sensitive kind....

Well he has up to about 11am Wednesday.... Or if he says something price sensitive in his talk at the end, I guess he has up to 11:30 or 11:45 Wednesday.....

Otherwise it will be a rehash of what everyone "should" know already.

From chatGPT:

Brain “clean-up” time: During deep sleep, especially in non-REM stages, your brain activates a system called the glymphatic system, which clears out waste products—including beta-amyloid, a protein linked to Alzheimer’s disease.

Memory consolidation: Sleep strengthens neural connections that help with learning and memory—key processes that dementia gradually disrupts.

Poor sleep = inflammation & stress: Chronic sleep deprivation raises inflammation and stress hormones, both of which can damage brain cells over time.

For middle-aged and older adults, getting 7–9 hours per night is associated with better cognitive health.

One study found that people who regularly got less than 6 hours of sleep in their 50s and 60s had a higher risk of developing dementia later on.

Does Zenakine help you sleep? If so it probably helps delay and stop demensia

Studies say that sun tan lotion cuts down the risk of getting skin cancer by about 40% so we know various creams and lotions we put on our skin can stop cancer.....

Toyin: so I guess that is the same as Sun tan lotion.... Which is a huge market to go for.

Can you go up to a tree and lick it and that will cure a headache? 😀

Yes - a single asprin (which comes from Willow Bark) can cure a headache.

https://www.reddit.com/r/RandomThoughts/comments/18uts6p/who_first_thought_to_chew_on_willow_bark_for_a/?rdt=44601

I would say there is a 60% chance of an RNS on Wednesday.

If there is no RNS then one assumes he cant say anything of importance .

I say 60% chance as the share is rising slightly so the market is guessing SBTX will

say something significant.

Judging by the share price, so far investors are thinking we should hear some positive news on Wednesday.

Now the product is actually launched and competitors can actually buy samples (online) one assumes some

aspects of the NDA are now null and void and SBTX can be a tad bit more frank with us...

Hence, possibly the rise in price.

I wonder if we will see a small uptick in the price as we head to Wednesday..

I mean, judging from the previous RNS the management of the company think the share price is too low.

So presumably they will give further details as to why they think the share price should be higher.

Otherwise, one assumes the price will fall further.

If you look at this lemminginvestor warning post, there are some elements of this warning within SBTX however there are elements that are NOT.

Eg Zenakine is a real ingredient that has really been launched by a FTSE100 ingredient company and SBTX do really get 10% of sales as a royalty. It really has passed drug trials and does actually work.

But it also has some of the stuff in the list below. Its a sort of take your pick:

https://lemminginvestor.substack.com/p/minoan-group-plc

I personally fully expect SBTX to get at least £1-2M royalty from Coda this calendar year

and over £3-4m 2026.

I cant give more accurate figures without more input from SBTX or seeing adverts for cosmetics in the press using Zenakine - hopefully adverts will appear within the next 2 months...

FTSE futures up over 100 points currently so could be a good day on Monday morning..

https://uk.investing.com/indices/uk-100-futures

Only last week CRODA was on TV with its big expansion into USA manufacturing.

https://youtu.be/enylWnMXzcg

Ps my figures in previous post come via chatGP giving me various numbers for Croda cosmetics and sedema and myself looking at the croda accounts for 2024. They are base on various assumptions and misconceptions.... but if you approach the 24 matrixly products from the other end - matrixlys total sales (which are on the net) they do appear (surprisingly) to still be very roughly right.

If you do the maths, worse case, each brand name (zenokine etc) is only in one croda product (as far we know zeonkine is in 5 croda products) then its roughly 10% of 1/200 of 920,000,000 = £600k for Croda (assuming each product is equal)... However its probably in 5 products and probably better than average.. So it might be say 5 * 700k = £3.5m royalties a year (possibly - I'm probably miles wrong)...

Matrixyl (two varieties) are in 24 Croda products... "IF" Zenokine ever got a HINT of getting as big as Matrixyl I'm pretty sure we would receive a takeover bid from either Croda or a competitor pretty quick....

I wonder why sbtx picked tuesday ?

Another biggish fall in Croda's share price this morning....

They do need some good success stories....

Its possible at this rate Croda might get taken over by a competitor....

(as it enters the FTSE250?)

I dont think Croda's fall has much of a bearing on SBTX.....

ChatGpt says roughly 2 to 3 months to develop a marketing campaign. So since we see no evidence of any anywhere on the net, I'd stick my neck out and say we ill not see anything on the shelves for 2 to 3 months - eg the summer (June)...

But

most of the early VIPS and other specials should have something for October and November.

However

This is all random guessing. 😊

In summary:

Dusty: thinks we should have some cosmetics ready for the important summer holiday market. Brilliant!

Elrico: roughly agrees with GoogleAI - eg he said around about 6 months - which takes you into the beginning of the Christmas market.

Taking a holistic view of all three means we might have one (possibly two) products ready for the summer and a much bigger sample size ready for October and November.... We might also have some ready for December but that is a little late .

Christmas is important as when I was a shopkeeper over 50% of my entire sales took place on or around Christmas. For cosmetics it will be just as big - if not bigger (I was selling sports equipment).

I asked Google AI (to make a change from chatGPT) - Google said this:

"

The time it takes for a cosmetic product to use an ingredient launched at the Cosmetic Ingredient Show (in-cosmetics) and appear on high streets can vary, but it generally takes 12-18 months for an ingredient to go from launch to the market.

"This time is not the time CRODA sell it to Cosmetic companies this is the time it takes the cosmetic companies to get the new ingredient into formulations of cosmetics and into the shops"..

I then asked Google AI if VIP customers have had the ingredient since Nov 2024 would they have it for sale by Christmas 2025?

"

Yes, if VIP customers have had access to an ingredient since November 2024, it's reasonable to expect that these customers will have access to something in shops for Christmas 2025, given the lead time for product development and launch.

Here's a breakdown of why: "....

It then went on into boring detail why they should have the ingredient ready for sale this Christmas...

So this could be a HUGE year for SBTX - Assuming GOOGLE is correct..