RE: 'Surprise'24 Apr 2022 14:32
I said at the time that I'd rather they'd gone straight for the DSO, with such low capex and a simple operation we'd have most likely already been a producer now.
I understand why they decided against (iron ore price volitility) but the old saying 'a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush' springs to mind.
My idea was get into production quickly, build up some cash and then explore other options. Maybe I'm being naive and oversimplifying things I don't know because we never get detailed enough communications but it looks like the full DFS will take another 2-3 months, no idea how long offtake agreements will take but with more than one it will take time and then there's the actual mine build. Although for balance they have said they can start offtake negotiations straightaway while the titanium element to DFS gets progressed which does make sense. It looks like they're gonna go for 2 or 3 seperate aggreements which will be more complex but probably more lucrative.
However every month that ticks by could have been a month building up cash reserves from a simpler operation from the start. Don't get me wrong this is still gonna be something special, with 100% IRR and only 3/8 resource areas mapped the potential here is enormous. With the number of shares in issue and the squeeze on commodities one can easily see a shareprice in the pounds a few years down the line but that's the rub you've got to commit that most precious commodity of all, time.
With almost everything in life the simpler you keep things the better. I hope these guys prove that wrong on this occasion with a fairly quick follow on announcement of a first offtake aggreement and get cracking with mine build ready for early '23 production.
Still a holder, still hold the same million shares I bought 4 or 5 years ago and still haven't sold a single share but I feel I've been patient enough and time has a habit of going by quicker as you get older so I want to see things really kicking on now. I'd also like to see better promotion of the company and better communication. Never take your shareholders for granted you never know when you might need them :)