RE: Ongoing farmout process".9 Nov 2024 16:40
Vista man I don't know that they have ever RNS'ed about a 'major' but with a $30 million cost commitment for just an initial exploratory drill I don't see it being a tin pot outfit.
I think the company would be quite aware of how they have performed against how they have worded past RNS'es so to my mind that would make them likely to be MORE cautious rather than less in their communications yet despite that assumption the word shortly WAS used. To me (and to many others going by the huge volume) that was significant even if you don't think likewise.
With regards to Tullow I know full well why they walked away, it was becaaue they had another large asset that they wanted to develop which required a lot of capital.
On your final point about the chance of success of an initial drill at Colibri, the figure you quote is out of date, the last one I saw was something like 24% but that is from memory, however I know it was above 17% and the same presentation or paper mentioned that with the piston core sampling this would rise again to something like 33% which is significantly above the figure you have quoted. It's Saturday and I'm about to start drinking otherwise I'd go through some RNS'es and reports to give more accurate answers.
Sometimes I do wonder though at the people holding shares in UOG, they seem to be unhappy whenever tbe price actually rises but very happy when the company has in the past had bad news and the price has fallen. I find that very odd behaviour.