Daily Telegraph16 Jul 2015 08:10
Avoid Admiral until its growth path is clearer: Ahead of the insurance sector’s interim results next month, Questor takes a look at Admiral, one of the more colourful firms in the car insurance market. When Admiral sets out its half-year earnings on August 19, it could be the last time that Henry Engelhardt presents the figures. The American who helped to found the firm is due to leave before next May, ending 25 years in charge. Admiral was among the first car insurers to raise prices in late 2014. Several years of fierce price cuts since a Government clampdown on dubious claims are now giving way to new forms of claims inflation. The car hire firm Uber recently chose to underwrite its own drivers, according to UBS analysts who said this was the sort of nasty shock facing insurers that do not adapt to new technology. Meanwhile, up to half of all cars will be autonomous in some way by 2025, Deloitte has predicted, making them safer but shifting the risk from motorists to manufacturers. Admiral set up Confused.com in 2002, and while the site’s revenues of £81 million and profits of £16 million last year are a drop in ocean, the firm has made its mark online. The trick now is to keep up. Admiral is one of the most generous dividend payers in the FTSE 100, handing over 95% of its earnings per share last year. This payout is uncertain, with an expected profit dip, an unsustainable release of reserves in recent results and a surprise £200 million bond issue last year. Questor would sit on the sidelines until the firm’s trajectory is clearer.