HL on L&G Outlook5 Aug 2015 20:43
Legal & General delivered another double-digit rise in net cash generation, operating profit and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) during the first half of its financial year. Net cash generation rose by 11% to £629m, divisional operating profit was up 19% to £853m and adjusted EPS rose by 15% to 9.79p. Return on equity improved to 19.1% (H1 2014: 17.6%). This enabled the interim dividend to be lifted by 19% to 3.45p per share. The shares have responded positively, up 3% in early morning trading.
Our view:
Legal & General is a market leader in the provision of low cost investment products and services, having been an early entrant into the tracker funds market. It has subsequently built up a substantial passive investments business. Growth has been strong in recent years, allowing L&G to increase the dividend to shareholders in each of the last five years.
L&G serves markets with a lot of inherent growth potential. They have a 20% share of the auto-enrolment pensions market, and by 2018 the vast majority of employees will have to have been signed up, by law. Contributions from its auto-enrolment pension scheme members should rise strongly over the next few years. It has plenty of scope to sign up new schemes too, with the number of people auto-enrolled expected to treble between now and 2030.
Changes to pension rules have seen L&G's individual annuity sales fall sharply. However, demand for L&G's bulk annuity schemes and liability-driven investment products should remain strong, as more companies seek to de-risk their defined benefit (DB) pension schemes. The UK DB market is worth over £1,000 billion with only about £50bn currently insured.
The group focuses on cash generation, which provides a solid backdrop for the dividend. Since 2008, the group's net cash generation has risen from £320m to £1.1bn per annum. On current market forecasts the stock will yield 4.9% (variable and not guaranteed) this year, with analysts predicting further increases in the dividend for future years.
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Business highlights:
•Legal & General Retirement delivered a 49% rise in operating profit to £280m, reflecting the increased scale of the business (annuity assets up 13% to £43.4bn) and accelerated implementation of the 'capital-lite' business model, which sees a higher proportion of profit being booked in the first year. Bulk annuity sales were £1,146m, from 23 policies (H1 2014: £3,135m from 25 policies). This business line is inherently lumpy. Individual annuity sales more than halved to £180m following the 2014 Budget changes.
•Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM) delivered 12% growth in total assets to £714.6bn, driven by strong demand for Liability Driven Investment (LDI) solutions, Active Fixed Income and Multi-Asset strategies, and strong