Commentary on results30 Jul 2015 11:59
Shell reported Interims this morning and they certainly beat my expectations with a clean 2Q number of $3.8bn down from $6.1bn on 2014 2Q. Obviously upstream was sharply down but even that figure was offset by lower costs and depreciation charges. Downstream was a fair bit better than I had expected, beating Q1 and showing an improved financial performance and higher refining margins which we had all spotted. Gearing is a respectable 12.7%, down a touch on this time last year. On dividends, the company scotched the bogey of any idea of a cut by saying that it would be ‘at least maintained’ and as for the share buy back it stays at $25bn between 2017-2020, not something BP could afford.
As one might expect costs are coming down everywhere, this year operating costs are down by $4bn with more to come and as for capex it too is down, by $7bn or 20% to $30bn. Lots on the BG ‘combination’ which is moving ahead steadily and of course cost savings are at the forefront, bigger than previously expected with $2.5bn a year from 2018 onwards and $30bn of asset sales between 2016-18. The deal will reshape the combined company and with its mantra of ‘grow to simplify’ will downsize numbers of but increase the size of international projects as it takes on fewer,higher value projects. Shell says that it will remain prudent through the downturn with the capacity to pay ‘attractive’ dividends to shareholders over the long term.