RE: Descending triangle4 Jun 2023 21:27
The timing of this "technical" look comes on a day (today Sunday) where OPEC+ have confirmed out cuts. It was pleasing to see Nigeria comply having spent so much on investment to catch up. Russia also agreed, but lets face it what they sa and what they do during time of war is complete nonsense.
To get to 63 to 83p PTAL will need higher oil prices closer to $90 in H2. I don't think in these times we will get there as even if all the forecasts are happy to say so, but happy to collect the dividend and see. The US will need to re-fill the strategic reserves but again they don't need to in H2 .
I have plotted the a classic descending triangle on an uptrend. Its there so there must be some signs of oil going to $90. I can only see that OPEC+ decided to cut today instead of actually increasing production to teach Russia a lesson and drive down oil prices. This looks unlikely after today's I suppose very good news.