SP Value Calculation scenarios30 Jan 2019 11:31
Based on Tiburn's earlier resource estimates I decided to do, basically for my own sanity, my own value calculations to have a feel for what the SP could get up to based on Havieron alone. Please use this to have a ponder over but do not base your investment decisions on it as there are many more parameters that will influence the SP than just these basic ones i.e. further proofing up resource (depth, width, length, grade), further assay results, gold price (well, that is of limited influence according to the experts), bidding war between suitors, copper resource, etc which I am not even going to try to include..
?
General:?
Soil s.g.: 2.32
Gram/Troy Ounce: 0.031
GBP/USD: 0.7576
Min in soil AU price: USD40/Oz (my choice based on research)
Max in soil AU price: USD 90/Oz (my choice based on research)
Shares in issue: 3,226,000,000
Target 1:
Ore body area: 300m*600m
HAD001 Layer depth: 121m
HAD001 grade: 2.93 g/mt
Volume: 21,780,000m3
Mass: 50,529,600 mt
gram AU: 148,051,728
Oz: 4,589,603
Target 2:
Scenario 1, average depth and gr/mt is same as HAD001.
Ore body area: 450m*600m
HAD005 Layer depth: 121m
HAD005 grade: 2.93 g/mt
Volume: 32,670,000m3
Mass: 75,794,400 mt
gram AU: 222,077,592
Oz: 6,884,405
Scenario 2, average depth and gr/mt is same as HAD005.
Ore body area: 450m*600m
HAD005 Layer depth: 275m
HAD005 grade: 4.77 g/mt
Volume: 74,250,000m3
Mass: 172,260,000 mt
gram AU: 821,680,200
Oz: 25,472,086
Value calcs Target 1+2:
Scenario 1:
USD 40/Oz
(4,589,603+6,884,405)Oz *40 $/Oz/3,226,000,000 shares* 0.7576 (GBP/USD)= GBP0.108/share
USD 90/Oz
(4,589,603+6,884,405)Oz *90 $/Oz/3,226,000,000 shares* 0.7576 (GBP/USD)= GBP0.243/share
Scenario 2:
USD 40/Oz
(4,589,603+25,472,086)Oz *40 $/Oz/3,226,000,000 shares* 0.7576 (GBP/USD)= GBP0.282/share
USD 90/Oz
(4,589,603+25,472,086)Oz *90 $/Oz/3,226,000,000 shares* 0.7576 (GBP/USD)= GBP0.635/share
Please bear in mind this is for Havieron only. No value added for the other projects of which some on here state that i.e. Scallywag could be bigger than HV (see Artemis airborne magnetic survey PaddyGall recently posted). I don't know and will wait for proof but the positive indications are definitely there.
In short, it makes me comfortable with my holding (that was what I was after) and adding as we go.
DYOR and thanks to Tiburn for the basics.
GLA
MS