RE: Good RNS17 Jul 2025 14:29
Great post. But I think we could revise that $12bn in-ground upwards for at least two reasons: rising metals prices and the as-yet unknown (to us) resource upgrades in the original MT DFS and, crucially, the further upgrades that will be encapsulated in the joint NKT-MT DFS. This will presumably have two pits at NKT (not one) and will have eliminated single asset and single commodity risk. Personally, I think we can estimate an in-ground value of $20bn and rising over the next decade — and substantially more if the Rosgeo assets come back into play for a buyer — and an NPV of $4bn or more. There’s huge value here IMO. We’re just waiting for it to be unlocked, which surely now isn’t very far away. Rums all round!