RE: It's only.....17 May 2022 12:06
Agreed, my anticipation is that shareholders would likely get in the region of the current mcap back as a dividend in a few years time.
Whilst I personally believe KM is worth considerably more than the offer value, given the current and likely future geo-political issues, the asset isn’t as attractive as it was even 3-months ago. Future sanctions and tensions may make it considerably less attractive going forward also.
At the moment, unfortunately, without having an alternative buyer lined-up the BoD have the weaker hand in any negotiations. Keep in mind, the buyer can reduce its offer or walk away at any time. Should that happen, AMC leaves itself open to more low-ball offers as desperation for a sale sets in.
Ultimately, no one knows how this will pan out. In terms of risk management though, a no-sale is much higher risk to investors.